Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $10,242.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader flips No

A highly experienced cross-market trader with $390k lifetime profit bought No after closing an opposing Yes position, signaling a fresh directional flip despite only a modest strategy score.

This bettor has 1,768 resolved trades and is up about $390k lifetime.
They trade across many related markets, with $2.3M flagged across 136 events.
They closed a Yes position and bought No at 80¢, showing a clear directional flip.

$3,933 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial crypto trader

Serial cross-market trader with large positive lifetime P&L bought No on a fast-moving BTC market after a major one-day odds drop.

This bettor has traded 1,768 resolved markets and is up about $390K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 136 events, suggesting a repeatable crypto-market strategy.
Bought No at 75¢ after Yes fell 42 points in a day, aligning with strong downside momentum.

$1,409 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

87% winner buying Yes

Sharp serial cross-market wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $3,000 of Yes despite already-high odds.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $16.8K lifetime.
They have traded across 26 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
A $3K buy at 88¢ shows confidence that Bitcoin stays above $80K at the noon close.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

87% winner buying YES

Surfaced due to the sharp-wallet override: this bettor has an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, now buying Yes on a BTC price market.

This bettor has won 13 of 15 resolved trades and is up $1,618 lifetime.
They bought $1,900 of Yes at 61¢ despite the market dropping 25.5 points over the past day.
Entry at 61¢ implies they see more upside than the current 60% market price suggests.

$1,900 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

0x8be4...b795 — Outcome 11615943, $11,721 (91% win rate)
0xf367...212e — Outcome 11615943, $8,857 (56% win rate)
0xe23f...33b0 — Outcome 11615943, $5,000
0x87ee...597f — Outcome 11615943, $4,934 (87% win rate)
0x5228...90b0 — Outcome 11615943, $2,000
0x1f6b...267e — Outcome 11615943, $1,686
0x3486...49ee — Outcome 11615943, $1,658 (97% win rate)
0x5abb...05a3 — Outcome 11615943, $1,493
0xfdf3...2583 — Outcome 11615943, $1,321 (65% win rate)
0x3b08...4849 — Outcome 11615943, $1,000

Related Theses

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Bitcoin settles between $80k-$82k

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Bitcoin holds 75K, tops at 80K

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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?

ResolvedBitcoin above ___ on May 13?$10,242 tracked4 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.