Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 14?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,152.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable crypto serial trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader with large history is buying Yes after major BTC odds momentum, though signal strength is moderate.
- This bettor has traded 1,816 resolved markets and is up about $365K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.3M deployed across 137 events.
- Bitcoin odds jumped 33 points in the past day, and this trade adds $3.4K on the Yes side at 76¢.
$3,419 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 58%
93% winner buying No
Sharp profitable wallet with a 93% resolved-bet record bought No on a near-term Bitcoin market, despite the trade being modest in size.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $39.5K lifetime.
- They bought No at 64¢ on a market resolving today, suggesting a strong short-term BTC view.
- The No side had broken sharply above its prior range, though it has since pulled back to 56¢.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable serial cross-market wallet with $348K lifetime P&L bought No as the market moved sharply against Yes, though the trade size is modest relative to volume.
- This bettor has traded 243 related markets across 137 events and is up $348K lifetime.
- They bought No at 61¢ after a sharp move from the prior 37¢ range, signaling a clear view against Bitcoin finishing above $80K.
- The position is modest, but the wallet’s long track record makes the directional bet worth tracking.
$1,632 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0xe9c6...95c9 — No, $11,299 (49% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Yes, $7,961 (60% win rate)
- 0xc52c...6732 — No, $6,566
- 0x4ad6...464c — Yes, $6,181
- 0x19fc...b4e3 — No, $5,630 (61% win rate)
- 0x2037...473d — Yes, $5,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xe907...cff6 — No, $4,658 (46% win rate)
- 0x395e...4d5d — No, $4,341
- 0x8970...36b5 — Yes, $4,079 (33% win rate)
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Yes, $2,624 (58% win rate)
Related Theses
Bitcoin trades between 80k and 85k
Covers 6 related markets
