Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 15?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,147.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable crypto regular
A highly active profitable cross-market BTC trader bought No at 89¢ amid a large move toward No, though their edge is modest and this is a liquid market.
- This bettor is up about $394K lifetime across more than 1,800 resolved trades.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $2.36M deployed across 247 related markets.
- The trade backs No at 89¢ after a sharp move toward No, suggesting conviction that BTC stays below $80K.
$3,849 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Surfaced because this is a highly experienced cross-market trader with large lifetime profit despite only a moderate standalone signal.
- This bettor is up $363K lifetime across nearly $17.7M of Polymarket volume.
- They have traded 74 markets across 47 related events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They bought Yes at 90¢, above the current 84¢ market price, signaling they were willing to pay a premium for the position.
$2,298 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xafe6...8192 — Outcome 80903192, $30,683 (85% win rate)
- 0x0304...dd40 — Outcome 80903192, $11,800
- 0x0247...a5ed — Outcome 80903192, $6,307
- 0x7ae8...57d5 — Outcome 80903192, $2,600
- 0x11b4...6ea0 — Outcome 80903192, $1,000
- 0x1608...10cf — Outcome 80903192, $1,000
- 0x9883...5f49 — Outcome 80903192, $1,000
- 0x34f4...16bd — Outcome 80903192, $639
- 0x763c...25b2 — Outcome 80903192, $630
- 0x9872...84b8 — Outcome 80903192, $500
Related Theses
Bitcoin dips but holds $70K
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin holds 75K, tops at 80K
Covers 8 related markets
Bitcoin stays rangebound in June
Covers 10 related markets
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
