Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 15?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?
This Polymarket market asks whether Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT price on Binance will close above $80,000 on the 12:00 PM ET 1-minute candle on May 15, 2026. It resolves to Yes only if that candle’s final close price is higher than $80,000; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter is tracking $2,298 in smart money activity and 1 recent smart money signal for this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,298.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Surfaced because this is a highly experienced cross-market trader with large lifetime profit despite only a moderate standalone signal.
- This bettor is up $363K lifetime across nearly $17.7M of Polymarket volume.
- They have traded 74 markets across 47 related events, showing a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- They bought Yes at 90¢, above the current 84¢ market price, signaling they were willing to pay a premium for the position.
$2,298 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xf705...3ca7 — No, $15,610 (50% win rate)
- 0x0247...a5ed — Yes, $6,307
- 0xd6b6...793f — No, $4,260
- 0x6e1d...d0fa — Yes, $3,899 (58% win rate)
- 0xdb5a...3965 — Yes, $3,063 (61% win rate)
- 0x5342...d243 — No, $2,910
- 0x19fc...b4e3 — Yes, $2,753 (61% win rate)
- 0x0fe4...01b7 — Yes, $2,536 (60% win rate)
- 0xb37b...5186 — Yes, $2,068
- 0x6ef9...afac — No, $1,395
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
