Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 18?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?
This prediction market asks whether Bitcoin will be above $80,000 on May 18, resolving based on the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $1,086 in smart money activity across 1 signal, including activity from a profitable serial crypto trader. The market resolves on May 18, 2026 at 16:00 UTC.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,086.
Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring
Notable Trades
Profitable serial crypto trader
Profitable high-volume serial cross-market trader is buying No near resolution on a BTC price market, though the bet size is modest.
- This bettor is up $388,636 across 1,505 resolved bets.
- They have traded across 52 events and 80 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Bought No at 88¢ with the market resolving tomorrow, implying high confidence Bitcoin stays below $80,000.
$1,086 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0xafe6...8192 — Yes, $8,697 (85% win rate)
- 0x19fc...b4e3 — No, $5,642 (61% win rate)
- 0xdb5a...3965 — No, $3,569 (61% win rate)
- 0xde6e...0169 — Yes, $3,088 (53% win rate)
- 0x72a0...c059 — No, $2,317 (49% win rate)
- 0xeee9...7ecb — No, $2,258
- 0xb37b...5186 — No, $1,968
- 0xe907...cff6 — Yes, $1,625 (46% win rate)
- 0xb758...dd73 — Yes, $1,600 (42% win rate)
- 0x6bb2...732e — Yes, $1,527
Related Theses
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
