Part of: Bitcoin above ___ on May 11?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,698.

Categories: Bitcoin, Weekly, Multi Strikes, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring

Notable Trades

Profitable serial crypto trader

Serial cross-market crypto trader with a long profitable history is buying No again, though this is a modest add after closing a larger prior No position.

  • This bettor has a long record: 1,645 resolved trades, 58% wins, and about $348k in profit.
  • They trade across many related markets, with 130 events and $2.2M in tracked cross-market activity.
  • They are buying No at 70¢ after previously holding a larger No position around 73¢.

$1,155 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

85% winner fading rally

Proven 85% winner with a long serial cross-market history is exiting Yes after a large BTC market move, which converts to a No copy signal at 50¢ despite current No around 38¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $126K lifetime across 97 positions.
  • They have traded 100 markets across 74 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • Selling Yes at 50¢ after entering around 18¢ signals they are fading the move toward Yes.

$3,017 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Serial BTC event trader

Serial cross-market trader with a 74% historical hit rate is flipping from a prior No stance into Yes on a BTC price market after broader event positioning.

  • This wallet has traded 44 related events with a 74% hit rate across 303 resolved markets.
  • They previously held No on this market but are now buying Yes, suggesting a fresh change in view.
  • The 24¢ entry implies about a 4x payout if Bitcoin closes above the target.

$1,525 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin stays below $82K

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

Bitcoin above ___ on May 11?$5,698 tracked3 signalsBitcoinWeeklyMulti StrikesCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From New
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Notable Trades

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

2026-05-11 01:19 UTC

$1,155 on No at 70¢

70¢→100¢↑30¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

2026-05-10 23:09 UTC

$3,017 on No at 50¢

50¢→100¢↑50¢

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?

2026-05-10 14:34 UTC

$1,525 on Yes at 24¢

Related Theses