Part of: 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,947.

Categories: Sports, Hockey, NHL, Stanley Cup

Notable Trades

Sharp cross-market NHL bettor

A highly profitable 76% win-rate trader is expressing a multi-market Stanley Cup thesis here, and their sell of Tampa Bay Yes converts into a clear buy of No at 85¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of their resolved trades and is up about $2.1M lifetime.
  • They have bet $78.7k across 3 markets in this same event, pointing to a broader Stanley Cup view rather than a one-off trade.
  • This trade is effectively a buy of No at 85¢, a high-confidence stance from a proven bettor in a liquid market.

$2,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%

84% win-rate sharp bettor

A highly profitable 84% win-rate bettor with over $1.4M in profits is taking a fresh $6.7k long-shot position on Tampa Bay, making this worth following despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of 894 resolved trades and is up $1.4M lifetime
  • They trade across 245 events and 363 markets, which points to a seasoned repeat winner rather than a one-off hot streak
  • They bought Tampa Bay Yes at 13¢, a low price that suggests they see meaningful upside from current odds

$6,697 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 76626937, $605,540
  2. 0xf195...8057 Outcome 35573117, $97,340 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xf988...d63b Outcome 35573117, $51,855 (84% win rate)
  4. 0xefc9...b337 Outcome 35573117, $40,654 (68% win rate)
  5. 0xe83c...5e8f Outcome 35573117, $25,639 (55% win rate)
  6. 0xf655...7ea4 Outcome 35573117, $23,875
  7. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 35573117, $20,613
  8. 0x27ab...e521 Outcome 35573117, $15,703
  9. 0x4f1d...8de2 Outcome 35573117, $15,348 (75% win rate)
  10. 0x1223...d424 Outcome 35573117, $13,336 (88% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Resolved2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion $8,947 tracked2 signalsSportsHockeyNHLStanley Cup

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL. The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.

Notable Trades

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

127d ago

$2,250 on No at 85¢

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

132d ago

$6,697 on Yes at 13¢

Related Theses