Part of: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

This Polymarket market asks whether the New York Yankees or San Diego Padres will score at least one run in the first inning of their September 6 MLB game. The market currently has smart money signals favoring “No,” with $1,485 tracked across one signal, and is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, no later than September 13, 2026.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,485.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Elite serial bettor buys No

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge is buying No at roughly market price in a first-inning scoring market.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 258 resolved positions and is up $346,714.
  • The wallet consistently trades across events, with 291 markets and $588,489 in total volume.
  • No was bought at 59¢, near the 58% market estimate, suggesting a well-supported but not dramatically mispriced position.

$1,485 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

96% winner adds to No

A highly proven bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to a No position in a relatively thin first-inning scoring market.

  • This bettor has won 407 of 426 resolved trades, with a $78,948 lifetime profit and entries averaging 55%.
  • They are adding $2,000 to an existing No position, bringing their investment to roughly $5,390.
  • The bet represents 58.5% of 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a market with $24,190 liquidity.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5ad4...6866 Outcome 81677288, $6,666 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xfd52...aa25 Outcome 81677288, $3,390 (96% win rate)
  3. 0x6c56...68b2 Outcome 81677288, $2,550 (81% win rate)
  4. 0xc0df...5974 Outcome 81677288, $2,530 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x2972...3f29 Outcome 81677288, $1,661 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x36e6...ad16 Outcome 81677288, $1,376 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x9621...0a73 Outcome 81677288, $678 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x7c75...227f Outcome 81677288, $594 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x0ebb...2b75 Outcome 81677288, $569
  10. 0x92c1...1a12 Outcome 81677288, $183

Related Theses

Zverev beats Sinner

Covers 1 related market

LSU will win by ten-plus points

Covers 1 related market

Hawaii keeps it close

Covers 1 related market

Ole Miss wins comfortably

Covers 1 related market

Series goes the distance

Covers 1 related market

NaVi wins in three maps

Covers 2 related markets

Natus Vincere beat G2

Covers 1 related market

Argentina wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

Argentina leads at halftime

Covers 1 related market

Mochizuki beats Michael Zheng

Covers 1 related market

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

1dNew York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres$3,485 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and San Diego Padres, scheduled for September 6 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the New York Yankees or San Diego Padres. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYY
3
81-62
Final
SD
4
75-68
NYY +100SD -120O/U 7
Venue
Petco Park, San Diego
Attendance
41,061
Price History — “No
59¢
53¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

5d ago

$1,485 on No at 59¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres

5d ago

$2,000 on No at 59¢

Related Theses