Part of: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 20 at 12:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the St. Louis Cardinals or Cincinnati Reds. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,502.

Categories: Games, MLB, baseball, Sports

Notable Trades

93% winner bought Yes at 49¢

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes at 49¢ before the market moved to 100%.

  • This bettor has won 205 of 220 resolved trades, with a $34,710 lifetime profit.
  • They bought Yes at 49¢, and the market has since moved to 100%.
  • The trade coincided with a 344x surge over the normal 24-hour volume.

$1,470 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner adds heavily to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate added $9,119 to No in a thin market before a sharp move against the position.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades, with $1.58M in recorded profit and a meaningful edge over the odds paid.
  • They added $9,119 to No in a thin market, representing more than the recent 24-hour volume.
  • The No position was increased at 52¢ before the market moved sharply toward Yes, making this a high-conviction contrarian trade to study.

$9,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

93% win-rate bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 220 resolved positions made a fresh, concentrated Yes position as the market surged 22.5% in a thin book.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 220 resolved trades and is up $34,710.
  • They bought Yes at 49¢ while closing an equivalent No position, signaling a clear directional shift.
  • The market rose 22.5% in a day despite only $54 liquidity, suggesting this trade materially moved the price.

$2,913 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$13,502 tracked3 signalsGamesMLBbaseballSports
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 20 at 12:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the St. Louis Cardinals or Cincinnati Reds. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

STL
10
66-63
Final
CIN
9
61-67
STL -110CIN +103O/U 9Polymarket: 100¢
Venue
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Attendance
15,361

Notable Trades

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-20 17:02 UTC

$1,470 on Yes at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-20 17:02 UTC

$9,119 on No at 52¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

2026-08-20 16:50 UTC

$2,913 on Yes at 49¢

49¢→100¢↑51¢

Related Theses