Part of: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

This Polymarket market asks whether at least one run will be scored in the first inning of the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds game scheduled for August 20 at 12:40 PM ET. It resolves Yes if either team scores in the opening inning and No if the inning is scoreless; the market remains open if the game is postponed until it is completed.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,502.

Categories: Games, MLB, baseball, Sports

Notable Trades

93% winner bought Yes at 49¢

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes at 49¢ before the market moved to 100%.

  • This bettor has won 205 of 220 resolved trades, with a $34,710 lifetime profit.
  • They bought Yes at 49¢, and the market has since moved to 100%.
  • The trade coincided with a 344x surge over the normal 24-hour volume.

$1,470 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

91% winner adds heavily to No

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate added $9,119 to No in a thin market before a sharp move against the position.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades, with $1.58M in recorded profit and a meaningful edge over the odds paid.
  • They added $9,119 to No in a thin market, representing more than the recent 24-hour volume.
  • The No position was increased at 52¢ before the market moved sharply toward Yes, making this a high-conviction contrarian trade to study.

$9,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

93% win-rate bettor buys Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 220 resolved positions made a fresh, concentrated Yes position as the market surged 22.5% in a thin book.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 220 resolved trades and is up $34,710.
  • They bought Yes at 49¢ while closing an equivalent No position, signaling a clear directional shift.
  • The market rose 22.5% in a day despite only $54 liquidity, suggesting this trade materially moved the price.

$2,913 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x408f...b2f4 Outcome 11195395, $17,537 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 11195395, $3,440 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 11195395, $1,795
  4. 0x66b2...0fdf Outcome 11195395, $1,000 (69% win rate)
  5. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 11195395, $780 (71% win rate)
  6. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 11195395, $511 (94% win rate)
  7. 0x0ebb...2b75 Outcome 11195395, $433
  8. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 11195395, $302 (94% win rate)
  9. 0xa65c...509d Outcome 11195395, $96 (92% win rate)
  10. 0x2396...9485 Outcome 11195395, $91 (87% win rate)

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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

3dSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds$13,502 tracked3 signalsGamesMLBbaseballSports

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for August 20 at 12:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the St. Louis Cardinals or Cincinnati Reds. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

STL
10
66-63
Final
CIN
9
61-67
STL -110CIN +103O/U 9
Venue
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Attendance
15,361

Notable Trades

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

3d ago

$1,470 on Yes at 49¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

3d ago

$9,119 on No at 52¢

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

3d ago

$2,913 on Yes at 49¢

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