Part of: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
This Polymarket market asks whether at least one run will be scored in the first inning of the St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds game scheduled for August 20 at 12:40 PM ET. It resolves Yes if either team scores in the opening inning and No if the inning is scoreless; the market remains open if the game is postponed until it is completed.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,502.
Categories: Games, MLB, baseball, Sports
Notable Trades
93% winner bought Yes at 49¢
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial edge bought Yes at 49¢ before the market moved to 100%.
- This bettor has won 205 of 220 resolved trades, with a $34,710 lifetime profit.
- They bought Yes at 49¢, and the market has since moved to 100%.
- The trade coincided with a 344x surge over the normal 24-hour volume.
$1,470 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
91% winner adds heavily to No
A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate added $9,119 to No in a thin market before a sharp move against the position.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades, with $1.58M in recorded profit and a meaningful edge over the odds paid.
- They added $9,119 to No in a thin market, representing more than the recent 24-hour volume.
- The No position was increased at 52¢ before the market moved sharply toward Yes, making this a high-conviction contrarian trade to study.
$9,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
93% win-rate bettor buys Yes
A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and 220 resolved positions made a fresh, concentrated Yes position as the market surged 22.5% in a thin book.
- This bettor has won 93% of 220 resolved trades and is up $34,710.
- They bought Yes at 49¢ while closing an equivalent No position, signaling a clear directional shift.
- The market rose 22.5% in a day despite only $54 liquidity, suggesting this trade materially moved the price.
$2,913 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x408f...b2f4 — Outcome 11195395, $17,537 (91% win rate)
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 11195395, $3,440 (60% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 11195395, $1,795
- 0x66b2...0fdf — Outcome 11195395, $1,000 (69% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 11195395, $780 (71% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 11195395, $511 (94% win rate)
- 0x0ebb...2b75 — Outcome 11195395, $433
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 11195395, $302 (94% win rate)
- 0xa65c...509d — Outcome 11195395, $96 (92% win rate)
- 0x2396...9485 — Outcome 11195395, $91 (87% win rate)
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