What does the Cardinals vs. Phillies first-inning run market cover?

The market covers whether either the St. Louis Cardinals or Philadelphia Phillies scores at least one run during the first inning of their scheduled August 23 game.

What happens if a run is scored in the first inning?

The market resolves to Yes if either team scores one or more runs in the first inning.

What happens if the first inning is scoreless?

The market resolves to No if both teams fail to score during the first inning.

What if the Cardinals vs. Phillies game is postponed?

If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game is completed. If it is canceled without a makeup game, resolution follows the exchange’s stated rules.

When does this MLB prediction market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve after the game is completed, with a listed resolution date of August 30, 2026.

Part of: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

This Polymarket market asks whether the St. Louis Cardinals or Philadelphia Phillies will score at least one run in the first inning of their August 23 MLB game. It resolves Yes if either team scores in the opening inning and No if the inning ends scoreless; check Polymarket for live odds and the latest smart money activity.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,040.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp bettors coordinated on No

Three wallets bought No for $5,500, including two highly profitable bettors with 90%+ win rates and substantial historical edge.

Three wallets committed $5,500 to No, including bettors with 90% and 92% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
The strongest wallet has won 92% of 253 trades while buying at an average 54% price, indicating substantial historical edge.
All three entered No around 56–58¢, implying they viewed a scoreless first inning as significantly underpriced.

$5,500 on No

Profitable serial bettor reloading No

A highly experienced serial trader with 6,633 resolved bets, a 73% win rate, and $1.7M profit is reloading No at a reasonable price.

This bettor has won 73% of 6,633 resolved trades and is up $1.7M lifetime.
The wallet trades across 641 markets and 567 events, suggesting a broad, established betting process rather than a one-off wager.
They re-entered No at 56¢ after previously holding the same outcome, with the market offering a tight 44¢–45¢ Yes spread.

$2,800 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Elite 92% win-rate sports bettor

A highly profitable sports-market bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $1,500 bet on No at 56%.

This bettor has won 92% of 253 resolved positions and is up $344,075 lifetime.
The 53% average entry price versus a 92% win rate indicates a substantial historical edge.
They are buying No at 56% in a liquid MLB first-inning market, with a $1,500 fresh position.

$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

Elite serial bettor buys No

A highly experienced bettor with an 83% win rate and substantial documented edge is buying No in a first-inning runs market.

This bettor has won 83% of 887 resolved trades and is up $212,111 lifetime.
Their results show a 22% edge over implied odds, making this more than a routine favorite bet.
They are buying No at 61¢ in a market currently pricing No near 60¢.

$1,240 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xdc41...dd7e — Outcome 26660972, $12,648 (73% win rate)
0xc0df...5974 — Outcome 26660972, $2,679 (92% win rate)
0x36e6...ad16 — Outcome 26660972, $2,069 (90% win rate)
0x8565...0c43 — Outcome 26660972, $2,044 (83% win rate)
0x2972...3f29 — Outcome 26660972, $1,818 (63% win rate)
0x7c75...227f — Outcome 26660972, $1,680 (95% win rate)
0xfd52...aa25 — Outcome 26660972, $875 (95% win rate)
0xf6d0...712d — Outcome 26660972, $707 (64% win rate)
0x9b55...1167 — Outcome 26660972, $400 (90% win rate)
0x5e53...922d — Outcome 26660972, $376

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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies

6dSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies$11,040 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the St. Louis Cardinals or Philadelphia Phillies. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

STL

66-66

Final

PHI

73-58

STL +200PHI -216O/U 8

Venue

Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia

Attendance

42,610

Price History — “Yes”

102¢