Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether the CDC will report at least 1,775 confirmed measles cases in the United States by April 30, 2026. The market resolves using the CDC’s 2026 measles case counter, making it a direct bet on the pace of the U.S. outbreak and official case reporting. It is scheduled to resolve by April 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $8,000.
Categories: Measles, Pandemics, Science, Weather
Notable Trades
99% win-rate serial bettor
A serial cross-market bettor with a 99% win rate just put an $8k buy into a very thin market, making up more than the full 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 534 of 537 resolved trades and has been active across 209 events.
- The $8,000 buy was larger than the market's full 24-hour volume and hit a market with just $1,888 of liquidity.
- They paid 87¢ for Yes, showing strong conviction even in a thin market with a very wide spread.
$8,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xdf97...4653 — Outcome 80290691, $4,433
- 0xc54d...8be1 — Outcome 80290691, $3,142
- 0x0a6d...1d0a — Outcome 79557788, $2,769
- 0x0285...59d6 — Outcome 80290691, $2,297
- 0x0923...88c7 — Outcome 79557788, $2,000
- 0x45b2...cbc1 — Outcome 79557788, $2,000 (15% win rate)
- 0x3db2...f07e — Outcome 79557788, $1,660
- 0x46ba...40d9 — Outcome 80290691, $1,524
- 0x167b...2a29 — Outcome 79557788, $1,300 (0% win rate)
- 0x97ea...3363 — Outcome 79557788, $1,050 (72% win rate)
