Part of: "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office

Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,310.

Categories: Movies, Culture, box office

Notable Trades

Serial niche-market bettor

Serial cross-market bettor with a large position in a very thin box-office market, though their lifetime P&L is slightly negative so conviction is moderate rather than elite.

  • This bettor has traded across 27 events and 32 related markets, showing a repeat pattern in niche prediction markets.
  • The $1.3k buy is nearly half of this market’s 24h volume, making it a meaningful bet in a thin order book.
  • They are backing No at 87¢, implying they see the over-77m second weekend as unlikely.

$1,310 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 67060099, $11,766
  2. 0xaf9b...2d24 Outcome 37849472, $1,000
  3. 0x4f1d...8de2 Outcome 37849472, $650 (78% win rate)
  4. 0x33f8...c5e4 Outcome 37849472, $260 (49% win rate)
  5. 0xc518...2594 Outcome 37849472, $253
  6. 0xcd91...32b8 Outcome 37849472, $231
  7. 0x43cb...84df Outcome 37849472, $220
  8. 0xa328...4977 Outcome 37849472, $142
  9. 0x764b...6bad Outcome 37849472, $120
  10. 0xfa24...23fa Outcome 37849472, $108

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Opening weekend lands $120–125M

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Troy Jackson wins Democratic nomination

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Odyssey opens between $105M-$115M

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Trump will post UFC

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Scary Movie tops 52 million

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Obsession tops $14M sixth weekend

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Brittany attends Taylor's wedding

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Toy Story opens 158-171m

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Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?

Resolved"Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office$1,310 tracked1 signalMoviesCulturebox office

This market will resolve according to how much "Toy Story 5" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (June 26 - June 28) are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Notable Trades

Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m?

24d ago

$1,310 on No at 87¢

Related Theses