Part of: Eurovision 2026: Top 10

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,688.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor flips No

Profitable high-volume wallet has flipped from a prior Yes position to buying No while also positioning across four Eurovision markets.

This bettor has 835 resolved trades and is up about $174K lifetime.
They previously held Yes here but closed it and is now buying No at 36¢.
They have $20K spread across 4 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$1,447 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

New wallet buying thin market

A 2-day-old wallet is making repeat large bets, including a $3.5k Yes buy that dwarfed recent volume in a thin Eurovision market.

A brand-new wallet is already placing repeat large bets, with $6.7k flagged across 3 trades.
This $3.5k buy was over 8x the market’s prior 24h volume and about 63% of available liquidity.
They bought Yes at 69¢ and the market has already moved to 72¢.

$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable new wallet betting No

A 2-day-old wallet with unusually strong early profits and repeated large bets bought No at 22¢, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite this being a modestly liquid market.

This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 12 times, with $45k in large bets and about $65k in profit
It has won 5 of 6 resolved bets so far, an unusually strong start for a brand-new account
They bought No at 22¢, implying they think Ukraine misses the top 10 more often than the market does

$1,740 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0xe3f2...e1c1 — Outcome 24348648, $6,139
0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 24348648, $2,584 (83% win rate)
0x96aa...c145 — Outcome 24348648, $2,120
0x594e...1c11 — Outcome 24348648, $1,951 (78% win rate)
0x0336...4bb0 — Outcome 24348648, $1,369 (95% win rate)
0xa5e3...4d7e — Outcome 24348648, $1,358 (19% win rate)
0x4447...e040 — Outcome 24348648, $1,019
0xb5f6...adc3 — Outcome 24348648, $1,000 (43% win rate)
0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 24348648, $831 (72% win rate)
0x168a...da29 — Outcome 24348648, $689 (79% win rate)

Related Theses

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Ruiz, Valencia avoid 2026 arrests

Covers 2 related markets

Bulgaria advances, Switzerland falls

Covers 2 related markets

Greece wins Eurovision over Denmark

Covers 2 related markets

Georgia out, Moldova Serbia advance

Covers 3 related markets

Australia wins Eurovision 2026

Covers 3 related markets

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Top 10$6,688 tracked3 signalsMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes”

72¢

64¢

55¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction