Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

This Polymarket asks whether Ukraine will finish in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Ukraine is officially one of the 10 highest-scoring entries, and it can resolve early to No if Ukraine is eliminated before the final results. It is scheduled to resolve around May 16, 2026, with official Eurovision results as the main source.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,740.

Categories: Music, Eurovision, Awards, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet betting No

A 2-day-old wallet with unusually strong early profits and repeated large bets bought No at 22¢, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite this being a modestly liquid market.

  • This 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 12 times, with $45k in large bets and about $65k in profit
  • It has won 5 of 6 resolved bets so far, an unusually strong start for a brand-new account
  • They bought No at 22¢, implying they think Ukraine misses the top 10 more often than the market does

$1,740 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x94c4...43ca No, $7,979 (83% win rate)
  2. 0x49b6...170c Yes, $5,345 (61% win rate)
  3. 0xad89...f6e1 Yes, $1,753 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x29d3...b2ed Yes, $963 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x16cb...2704 No, $300
  6. 0xd8dd...9b5a Yes, $157
  7. 0xe4ca...1383 No, $157
  8. 0xa304...b075 Yes, $133
  9. 0xcb14...5358 Yes, $90
  10. 0x1b15...96d4 No, $80

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

31d$1,740 tracked1 signalMusicEurovisionAwardsCulture
Yes
78¢
No
23¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 10 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 10 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “Yes
83¢
79¢
74¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

10h ago

$1,740 on No at 22¢

22¢23¢1¢

Related Theses