Part of: United States vs. Belgium

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,943.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

96% winner backs No draw

Sharp bettor with a 96% record and nearly $98k profit is making a $15.7k bet against the draw.

This bettor has won 26 of 27 resolved bets and is up about $98k lifetime.
They put $15.7k on No at 71¢, a meaningful position despite a liquid market.
Their past wins came around 52¢ odds, so this track record is not just from picking heavy favorites.

$15,705 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

98% winner buying draw

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate bought $17.3k of Yes at 29¢.

This bettor has won 53 of 54 resolved positions and is up about $2.4M lifetime.
They placed a sizable $17.3k bet on Yes at 29¢, implying strong confidence in the draw outcome.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 90 events with a 98% win rate.

$17,285 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

81% winner backs No draw

Sharp, highly profitable sports bettor with an 81% win rate bought nearly $4k of No on the draw market.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $273k lifetime.
They have traded 171 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
Buying No at 71¢ means they see Belgium vs. USA avoiding a draw as underpriced.

$3,953 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 43365014, $496,163
0x85f0...3f67 — Outcome 59186683, $419,997 (98% win rate)
0xe221...06f6 — Outcome 59186683, $237,777 (97% win rate)
0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 59186683, $193,088 (87% win rate)
0xabb8...bba3 — Outcome 59186683, $70,000 (49% win rate)
0x6501...1220 — Outcome 59186683, $51,090 (100% win rate)
0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 59186683, $48,866 (58% win rate)
0xb225...3d54 — Outcome 59186683, $48,187 (89% win rate)
0x0f1c...82c6 — Outcome 59186683, $45,000 (92% win rate)
0x208c...6b98 — Outcome 59186683, $44,407 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

ResolvedUnited States vs. Belgium$36,943 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 6, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.