Part of: United States vs. Senegal
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,002.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Fifa Friendly
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster caught late move
A 6-wallet Yes cluster included two profitable high-win bettors and caught a major move from roughly 37–85¢ to 100¢, though the market is now effectively fully priced.
- Two standout bettors joined the Yes side, including one who wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $21K.
- Six wallets put $14.3K on the same side as Yes jumped 47 percentage points to 100%.
- Entry prices ranged from 37¢ to 85¢, showing strong conviction before the market fully priced in the result.
$14,295 on Yes
New wallet riding breakout
A 3-day-old profitable wallet bought Yes into a fast 36-point move, alongside a 20.8x pre-event volume spike.
- A 3-day-old wallet with early profit is already sizing into its 5th position.
- The market saw a 20.8x volume spike and Yes jumped 36 points in under 2 minutes.
- Entry at 85¢ is aggressive, suggesting strong confidence despite the already-large move.
$1,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 54%
Profitable serial trader
A profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Yes just before a sharp 36-point move from 51¢ to 86¢, though the current price is already well above the suggested chase range.
- This bettor has traded 1,705 resolved markets and is up $75,216 lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 51¢ just before the market surged to 86¢ in under two minutes.
- The move has already run far past entry, so the signal is strongest if the price pulls back.
$1,128 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
77% serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 77% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No despite the market currently favoring Yes.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $27,453 lifetime.
- They have traded across 49 events and 54 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports approach.
- They bought No at 46¢ while the market now shows 33¢, so the current price is cheaper than their entry.
$2,989 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Sharp, profitable serial cross-market bettor bought No against the market move, making this worth surfacing despite the position currently trading lower.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $49.8K lifetime.
- They have traded across 45 events with the same 79% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- They bought No at 47¢ while the market is now 33¢, so the same side may be available cheaper than their entry.
$1,652 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
91% winner cross-market bet
Sharp profitable sports bettor with a 91% resolved win record is buying Yes while also positioning across three related event markets.
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved trades and is up about $20.7K lifetime.
- They have put $10.5K across three markets in the same event, suggesting a broader thesis.
- The market has already moved sharply toward Yes, up about 30 points over the past day.
$1,049 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
91% winner exits No
Sharp 91% win-rate wallet is exiting No exposure, equivalent to backing Yes at 72¢, alongside strong Yes momentum and cross-market positioning.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $20.7K lifetime.
- They have traded 3 markets in this same event with about $10K, suggesting a broader game thesis.
- Selling No at 28¢ is equivalent to backing Yes at 72¢ after a sharp move toward Yes.
$1,701 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Proven sports sharp buying Yes
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 76% long-run win rate and +$60k P&L bought Yes despite a major recent price move upward.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $60,435 lifetime.
- They have traded across 54 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Yes at 65¢ after the market moved up 26.5 points in a day, backing the momentum.
$1,349 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial sports trader
A profitable, highly active cross-market trader bought United States Yes at 38¢ on a relatively quiet sports market.
- This bettor has won 60% of 462 resolved bets and is up about $45.8K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 68 events and $190K tracked in similar positioning.
- The $1.1K buy is meaningful for a market with only about $7.5K traded in the last 24 hours.
$1,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x39f6...abe1 — Outcome 21160302, $6,523 (77% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 21160302, $5,290 (71% win rate)
- 0xc291...5d74 — Outcome 21160302, $4,396
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 21160302, $3,940
- 0x38f1...9ff1 — Outcome 21160302, $2,222 (79% win rate)
- 0x3555...ba40 — Outcome 21160302, $1,259 (85% win rate)
- 0xdd55...c9bf — Outcome 21160302, $1,222 (74% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 21160302, $1,171 (55% win rate)
- 0xd09d...b15d — Outcome 21160302, $1,100 (54% win rate)
- 0x28dc...a1f2 — Outcome 21160302, $925 (73% win rate)
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