Part of: United States vs. Belgium

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,176.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

91% win-rate serial bettor

Highly profitable 91% win-rate serial sports bettor is net buying No despite a small Yes hedge, with a strong cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 91% win rate.
  • Despite a small Yes hedge, their net position is on No at 63¢, now trading around 66¢.

$2,798 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% win-rate serial bettor

Highly profitable 91% win-rate serial sports bettor is net buying No despite a small Yes hedge, with a strong cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $106k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 53 events with the same 91% win rate.
  • Despite a small Yes hedge, their net position is on No at 63¢, now trading around 66¢.

$4,614 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%

91% winner buying underdog

Sharp sports bettor with a 91% record and strong lifetime profit bought United States Yes at 36¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $24K lifetime.
  • They bought United States at 36¢, implying a potential underdog mispricing.
  • Their past wins came at average 57¢ odds, far below their actual hit rate.

$1,765 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

83% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet with an 83% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $2,000 of Yes at 36¢, making the wallet track record the key signal despite a liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $15,917 lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average odds of 38%, suggesting a strong record of finding underpriced bets.
  • Entry at 36¢ implies they see United States as a mispriced underdog.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 44841574, $496,163
  2. 0x28d3...c27c Outcome 12543071, $494,813 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x4bff...fc26 Outcome 12543071, $300,000 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x0f1c...82c6 Outcome 12543071, $205,000 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x928b...ccf4 Outcome 12543071, $201,910 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x0520...e4e0 Outcome 12543071, $185,416 (56% win rate)
  7. 0xb451...d7b3 Outcome 12543071, $180,925 (80% win rate)
  8. 0x85bb...9ada Outcome 12543071, $158,802 (87% win rate)
  9. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 12543071, $135,135 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x7c01...f7a7 Outcome 12543071, $116,252 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

ResolvedUnited States vs. Belgium$11,176 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 6, 2026 If United States wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

13d ago

$2,798 on No at 63¢

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

14d ago

$4,614 on No at 63¢

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

15d ago

$1,765 on Yes at 36¢

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

15d ago

$2,000 on Yes at 36¢

Related Theses