Part of: Uruguay vs. Spain
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,221,393.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Five-wallet no-draw cluster
Five wallets clustered on No draw at 67–69¢, with profitable sports-heavy wallets and immediate price movement to 80¢ despite a liquid market.
- Five wallets put $17.4K on the match not ending in a draw.
- Several bettors have long profitable records, including wallets up $316K and $180K lifetime.
- They entered around 67–69¢ and No has already moved to 80¢.
$17,367 on No
97% winner joins draw cluster
A highly profitable 97% bettor joined a five-wallet push into Yes, with the draw price already moving up 8 points.
- A bettor who wins 97% of resolved bets is buying Yes and is up $66.6K lifetime.
- Five wallets put $10.7K on the draw, all in the same direction.
- The draw price has already moved from 22¢ to 30¢ in the last day.
$7,058 on Yes
78% winner buys No
Sharp wallet with a 78% long-run win rate and $263k profit bought $28.1k of No, supported by serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $263,742 lifetime.
- They put $28,100 on No at 73¢, a large confident bet that Uruguay vs. Spain will not end in a draw.
- This wallet is a proven serial sports trader across 143 events, and this market saw a 52.7x volume spike.
$28,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable serial sports sharp
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 75% record and $2.17M lifetime profit bought $43K of No despite a very liquid market.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.17M lifetime.
- They placed a $43K bet on No, adding conviction in a highly liquid market.
- This wallet has traded 843 markets across 610 events, with the same 75% hit rate.
$43,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Linked whale buying draw
A coordinated 4-wallet cluster, including a highly profitable new whale, bought $277k of Yes on the draw amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- Four wallets are all betting the same way, putting $277k on the draw.
- A 24-day-old repeat whale in the cluster is already up $4.1M across flagged positions.
- Market volume is surging 118x above normal, and the draw price has moved up 5 points in the last day.
$277,212 on Yes
Profitable new whale No cluster
A highly profitable new whale and a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster drove a major pre-event move, though the best copy level is far below the current price.
- This 24-day-old wallet is already up $4.1M and has triggered 54 large-bet alerts.
- Five wallets bought No together, totaling about $241k in the same direction.
- No was bought at 42¢ and now trades near 72¢, so this is only attractive if it pulls back near the whale’s entry.
$414,916 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
91% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable 91% win-rate sports bettor bought No on the draw, with serial cross-market success and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the signal.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $97,912 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 45 events, with the same 91% hit rate.
- Market volume spiked 246x before the match, while this sharp entered No at 73¢.
$1,585 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable new whale No cluster
A highly profitable new whale and a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster drove a major pre-event move, though the best copy level is far below the current price.
- This 24-day-old wallet is already up $4.1M and has triggered 54 large-bet alerts.
- Five wallets bought No together, totaling about $241k in the same direction.
- No was bought at 42¢ and now trades near 72¢, so this is only attractive if it pulls back near the whale’s entry.
$397,718 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
92% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp wallet with a 92% win rate and $175k profit bought No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $175k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 105 events with the same 92% hit rate.
- Bought No at 74¢ as volume spiked 106x before the match.
$1,615 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable cross-market sharp
A highly profitable 76% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought the draw while also positioning across related event markets.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.82M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 226 events, with $1.31M in similar event-level positioning.
- This is part of a $30.5K thesis across 3 markets in the same match.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 64633878, $125,824
- 0x580d...eb6d — Outcome 31752155, $100,000 (89% win rate)
- 0xcd30...f316 — Outcome 31752155, $82,991 (100% win rate)
- 0xee67...ef38 — Outcome 31752155, $30,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 31752155, $23,991 (73% win rate)
- 0x8fbb...9a17 — Outcome 31752155, $22,222 (54% win rate)
- 0xc8ec...e8f1 — Outcome 31752155, $22,076 (31% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 31752155, $17,400 (97% win rate)
- 0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 31752155, $13,500 (47% win rate)
- 0x6157...9fb4 — Outcome 31752155, $12,500 (92% win rate)
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