Part of: Uruguay vs. Spain
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,313.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
80% winner backs No
Sharp sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and strong positive P&L is buying Uruguay No at 86¢.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $58.6K lifetime.
- They have traded across 94 events with an 80% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying No at 86¢ shows confidence Uruguay does not win in regulation.
$1,941 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
New repeat whale on Yes
An 8-day-old repeat large bettor bought $9.2k of Uruguay Yes at 15¢ amid a 46x pre-event volume spike, with early positive P&L despite limited history.
- An 8-day-old wallet bought $9.2k of Yes and has now triggered $23.5k in large-bet alerts.
- This bettor is already up $6.3k on one resolved bet, though the track record is still very short.
- Market volume is spiking 46x versus normal, suggesting fresh money is arriving before the match.
$9,236 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp five-wallet longshot cluster
Five wallets bought $31k of Uruguay Yes at 16¢, including multiple profitable bettors and one 90% winner, making this coordinated longshot position worth surfacing.
- Five wallets put $31k on the same longshot side at 16–17¢.
- One bettor wins 90% of their resolved bets and is up $10k on $26k invested.
- Another wallet in the cluster is up $917k lifetime, adding credibility to the move.
$31,192 on Yes
Sharp cluster buying longshot
Three profitable sports/cross-market wallets, including a 92% winner, all took the same Uruguay Yes position, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Two proven bettors are in this cluster: one wins 92% of resolved bets, another wins 79%.
- All 3 wallets took the same Uruguay Yes side for about $5.9K total.
- They entered around 20¢, while the market is now near 6¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow.
$5,924 on Yes
Pre-event Uruguay money
Surfaced for the large pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term P&L record.
- Market volume spiked 320x above its historical pace before the match.
- This wallet has $53.9K positioned across 3 related event markets.
- Uruguay Yes moved up 3 points in the last day, with this entry around 15¢.
$14,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Pre-event Uruguay money
Surfaced for the large pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term P&L record.
- Market volume spiked 320x above its historical pace before the match.
- This wallet has $53.9K positioned across 3 related event markets.
- Uruguay Yes moved up 3 points in the last day, with this entry around 15¢.
$11,211 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Perfect-record repeat bettor
Surface due to sharp-wallet override: this repeat-flagged wallet is 27-0 on resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is adding a $7.7k No position.
- This bettor is 27-0 on resolved trades and up $3.8k lifetime.
- They have been flagged 7 times before and just put $7.7k on No.
- Entry at 85¢ suggests a lower-upside but high-conviction favorite bet.
$7,701 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
93% winner backs No
Elite sports bettor with a 93% win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Uruguay No amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $175K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 103 events with the same 93% hit rate.
- Market volume is running 68x above normal ahead of the match, supporting the move.
$3,401 on No | Wallet win rate: 92%
Pre-event Uruguay money
Surfaced for the large pre-event volume spike and cross-market positioning, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term P&L record.
- Market volume spiked 320x above its historical pace before the match.
- This wallet has $53.9K positioned across 3 related event markets.
- Uruguay Yes moved up 3 points in the last day, with this entry around 15¢.
$1,663 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Proven $1.8M sports sharp
Surfacing because a highly proven sports bettor with 76% wins and $1.83M profit is buying Uruguay No despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor has won 76% of 3,648 resolved bets and is up $1.83M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.23M placed across 366 related markets.
- Buying No at 86¢ shows confidence that Uruguay will not win in regulation.
$2,625 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 82534736, $125,824
- 0x37e0...024e — Outcome 19006898, $112,500 (71% win rate)
- 0x50f0...5355 — Outcome 19006898, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 19006898, $84,039 (59% win rate)
- 0x280b...333b — Outcome 19006898, $61,573 (100% win rate)
- 0xfd97...0ec5 — Outcome 19006898, $55,293 (63% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 19006898, $53,000 (86% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 19006898, $51,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xcaef...c642 — Outcome 19006898, $50,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x6b36...0d4b — Outcome 19006898, $49,320 (41% win rate)
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