This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $30k lifetime. The $5k buy was nearly 80% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market. Entry at 75¢ implies they see USA avoiding Round of 32 elimination as more likely than current odds suggest.

Part of: World Cup: USA Stage of Elimination

Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,665.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Sports, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Stage of Elimination

Notable Trades

94% serial winner buying NO

Sharp serial cross-market trader with a 94% resolved win rate and $267k lifetime profit bought No at 69¢.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $267k lifetime.
They are a major serial cross-market trader, with $4.6M placed across 332 markets.
Entry at 69¢ implies they see USA avoiding Round-of-32 elimination as meaningfully underpriced.

$1,281 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

91% winner buying NO

Surfacing despite a low composite score because the wallet has a strong resolved track record and made a large No bet on a relatively thin World Cup market.

This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $30k lifetime.
The $5k buy was nearly 80% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market.
Entry at 75¢ implies they see USA avoiding Round of 32 elimination as more likely than current odds suggest.

$1,243 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

91% winner buying NO

Surfacing despite a low composite score because the wallet has a strong resolved track record and made a large No bet on a relatively thin World Cup market.

This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $30k lifetime.
The $5k buy was nearly 80% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market.
Entry at 75¢ implies they see USA avoiding Round of 32 elimination as more likely than current odds suggest.

$1,163 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

91% winner buying NO

Surfacing despite a low composite score because the wallet has a strong resolved track record and made a large No bet on a relatively thin World Cup market.

This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved bets and is up about $30k lifetime.
The $5k buy was nearly 80% of the market’s 24h volume, showing real conviction in a thin market.
Entry at 75¢ implies they see USA avoiding Round of 32 elimination as more likely than current odds suggest.

$4,978 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

0xa40d...ea7a — Outcome 60131811, $17,129
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 97373026, $13,740
0xefc9...b337 — Outcome 60131811, $3,479 (68% win rate)
0xdd15...4a07 — Outcome 60131811, $3,096 (70% win rate)
0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 60131811, $2,527 (61% win rate)
0x30ee...a587 — Outcome 60131811, $2,374 (70% win rate)
0xd4e7...b0f7 — Outcome 60131811, $986
0x5afc...2995 — Outcome 60131811, $462
0x476c...ce52 — Outcome 60131811, $393
0x054d...27bf — Outcome 60131811, $355

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Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

ResolvedWorld Cup: USA Stage of Elimination$8,665 tracked4 signalsFIFA World CupSoccerSports2026 FIFA World CupStage of Elimination

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.