Part of: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-12?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,466.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Five-wallet No conviction cluster

Five wallets committed $30.5K to No amid a 79x volume spike, with the market moving from roughly 65-81% to 84% implied probability.

Five wallets invested $30,549 on No, including bettors with long-term profitable records and up to 78% win rates.
Trading coincided with a 79x volume spike and a sharp 19-percentage-point move toward No.
The blended entry was about 72¢, implying the group viewed No as substantially underpriced before the move.

$30,549 on No

90% win-rate serial trader

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $1.13M profit made a sizable fresh Yes bet despite the market later falling to 18%.

This bettor has won 238 of 265 resolved trades, with $1.13 million in lifetime profit.
They made a $2,917 concentrated bet on Yes at 33%, implying substantially more confidence than the market's current 18% price.
The trader has positions across 97 events and 150 markets, showing a deep and repeatable track record rather than a one-off wager.

$2,917 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

0x1660...5598 — Outcome 45454535, $30,000 (90% win rate)
0x4408...1b6a — Outcome 45454535, $24,414 (57% win rate)
0x20b8...aa04 — Outcome 45454535, $6,150 (56% win rate)
0xea83...e0cc — Outcome 45454535, $2,867 (60% win rate)
0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 45454535, $1,473 (58% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 45454535, $1,008
0x8853...c058 — Outcome 45454535, $1,000 (75% win rate)
0xcc8b...02b6 — Outcome 45454535, $893 (70% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 42055900, $578
0xa0f6...4892 — Outcome 45454535, $385

Related Theses

Nongshim wins, DN takes Game 4

Covers 2 related markets

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-12?

ResolvedTSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart$33,466 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026 If VfB Stuttgart wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.