Part of: FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

This prediction market asks whether VfL Wolfsburg will win their scheduled Bundesliga match on May 16, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. PolySpotter is tracking $12,200 in smart money across 1 signal, with recent alerts pointing to No-side buying from a profitable sharp bettor. The market resolves Yes only if Wolfsburg wins; a draw, loss, or full cancellation with no make-up game resolves No.

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If VfL Wolfsburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,470.

Categories: Soccer, bundesliga, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

97% winner buying No

Elite profitable sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate bought $12.2k of No on Wolfsburg amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.65M lifetime.
  • They have traded 113 events and $3.6M across related markets with the same 97% hit rate.
  • The $12.2k No buy came during a huge pre-event volume spike, suggesting sharp money is moving before kickoff.

$12,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 74% win rate and $1.3M lifetime profit bought Wolfsburg Yes at 40¢.

  • This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $1.3M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 49 events and 62 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Entry at 40¢ implies they see Wolfsburg as underpriced despite a fairly liquid market.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

97% winner leads No cluster

A highly profitable 97% lifetime winner led a $14.3k three-wallet push into No alongside a major pre-event volume spike.

  • The lead bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $3.65M lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $14.3k of No, led by an $11.5k entry from the sharpest wallet.
  • Market volume spiked 105x above normal as this one-sided buying came in.

$14,269 on No

Million-dollar serial sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% win rate and $1.33M lifetime profit bought Wolfsburg Yes during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 74% wins across 2,671 resolved bets and $1.33M in profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 48 events and $245K of detected related-market bets.
  • Market volume spiked 105x above normal, and they entered Wolfsburg Yes at 40¢.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3fd9...1ef0 No, $90,355 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x507e...beae Yes, $21,005 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xdb83...1e50 Yes, $7,221 (68% win rate)
  4. 0x2005...75ea Yes, $7,000 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x4f29...7a7e Yes, $5,264 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x6d3c...d294 Yes, $5,075 (51% win rate)
  7. 0x160b...4296 Yes, $5,002 (74% win rate)
  8. 0x84cf...2f63 Yes, $3,228 (51% win rate)
  9. 0x0bbb...f7d1 Yes, $3,064
  10. 0x1d8a...085b Yes, $2,916

Related Theses

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Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

8hFC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg$28,470 tracked4 signalsSoccerbundesligaSportsGames
Yes
40¢
No
61¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If VfL Wolfsburg wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
70¢
63¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

28m ago

$12,200 on No at 61¢

61¢61¢

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

1h ago

$1,000 on Yes at 40¢

40¢40¢

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

2h ago

$14,269 on No at 60¢

60¢61¢1¢

Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?

2h ago

$1,000 on Yes at 40¢

40¢40¢

Related Theses