Part of: FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16?
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,627.
Categories: Soccer, bundesliga, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
85% win serial bettor
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 85% record is effectively buying Wolfsburg Yes despite recent market pressure toward No.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 2,014 markets and is up $46K lifetime.
- They have traded across 682 events and over $1M in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
- Selling No at 68¢ is the same as buying Yes around 32¢, while the market currently prices Wolfsburg near 30%.
$2,256 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
85% serial bettor buying dip
Surface because a proven 85% winner with positive lifetime P&L joined a $10.5k same-side Wolfsburg flow near a sharp price drop.
- The strongest wallet wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $46k lifetime across 2,014 markets.
- Three wallets put $10.5k on the same Wolfsburg side during a fast-moving live market.
- The sharp wallet’s trade is equivalent to buying Yes around 32¢, close to the current 30¢ price.
$10,520 on Yes
Sharp bettor fading rally
A very strong 79% lifetime bettor sold Yes into a big Wolfsburg price rally, aligning with a linked 5-wallet No-side cluster, though part of the trade may be profit-taking from an earlier Yes position.
- This bettor has won 79% of 1,173 resolved bets and is up $51K lifetime.
- Five wallets are all leaning the same way, with $11.8K effectively on No and two wallets sharing a funder.
- The trade fades a 22-point one-day Yes rally, though this wallet was also closing a profitable Yes position.
$1,307 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Linked cluster fading move
Despite the focal trade partly looking like profit-taking, the stronger signal is a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster with linked funding amid a major pre-match volume spike.
- Five wallets are all taking the No side, with two of them linked by the same funder.
- This market’s volume spiked 62x versus normal activity before the match.
- The lead wallet has traded across 25 events with a 68% resolved win rate and positive lifetime profit.
$2,604 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp exits YES rally
A proven 79% winner closed a profitable Yes position into a sharp rally while a small linked cluster is taking the No side.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $31.6k lifetime.
- They bought Yes around 38¢ and sold at 62¢, suggesting they no longer like Yes after the rally.
- Five wallets are taking the No side for $11.8k, including two linked wallets.
$1,857 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Wolfsburg No, but the market has since moved sharply against their entry.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 8,433 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $993K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 117 events, suggesting this is part of a broader sports betting strategy.
- The entry was 65¢ on No, but No is now around 36¢, so the market has moved heavily against the trade.
$1,018 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Sharp 10-wallet Yes surge
High-scoring coordinated Yes flow with sharp sports wallets, a 62x volume spike, and a 24-point price move despite some smaller opposing No activity.
- Several proven bettors joined the Yes side, including wallets winning 85%, 79%, and 76% of resolved trades.
- Ten wallets bought nearly $30k of Yes while the price jumped from about 39¢ to 64¢.
- Volume spiked 62x normal, suggesting this was more than routine pre-game activity.
$29,762 on Yes
Profitable serial sports bettor
A massively profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Wolfsburg Yes at 36¢ despite the single trade being modest in size.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $9.1M lifetime.
- They have traded across 1,906 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports edge.
- Entry at 36¢ implies a nearly 3x payout if Wolfsburg wins.
$1,111 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable serial sports trader
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with $3.16M lifetime P&L bought Wolfsburg No at 61¢, though the individual trade size is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up $3.16M lifetime across more than 13,000 resolved trades.
- They have traded 559 markets across 357 events, suggesting a systematic sports-betting edge.
- Entry at 61¢ on No means they are betting Wolfsburg fails to win in regulation.
$1,604 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
$3.2M-profitable serial trader
Profitable high-volume sports trader with $3.16M lifetime P&L bought No despite only a modest single-trade alert.
- This bettor has won 65% of 13,759 resolved trades and is up $3.16M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 357 events and over $2.2M flagged in related positioning.
- Buying No at 61¢ suggests they are leaning against a Wolfsburg win despite a liquid market.
$1,208 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
Top Holders
- 0x3fd9...1ef0 — Outcome 10883627, $98,474 (95% win rate)
- 0x7236...ea53 — Outcome 10883627, $6,400 (88% win rate)
- 0xfb13...5946 — Outcome 10883627, $2,840 (93% win rate)
- 0x1af3...b3b4 — Outcome 10883627, $1,211 (77% win rate)
- 0xea2b...1fc6 — Outcome 10883627, $1,075 (66% win rate)
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 10883627, $660 (78% win rate)
- 0x6ed3...0a22 — Outcome 10883627, $560 (82% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 10883627, $557
- 0x04a5...d093 — Outcome 10883627, $400
- 0x6f81...2bb7 — Outcome 10883627, $400
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