Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $199,130.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying Villarreal Yes

A concentrated $59,000 Yes position combines ten-wallet one-sided flow with several bettors showing unusually strong, odds-adjusted track records.

Ten wallets bought Yes for a combined $59,088, while volume spiked to 26.6 times its historical average.
Several participants have exceptional records, including 98% over 45 bets, 97% over 61 bets, and 89% over 218 bets.
The largest trade entered at 45¢, below the current 48¢ market price, suggesting meaningful conviction near an even-money outcome.

$59,088 on Yes

New whale scaling into No

A one-day-old wallet has repeatedly scaled into a large No position while a sharp volume spike and modest price decline support the trade direction.

A one-day-old wallet has invested roughly $89,000 in No across repeated trades, including this additional $31,000.
The market saw a 463x historical volume spike, with No moving down only modestly despite the wallet’s substantial buying.
The wallet already held $57,926 of No at 55¢, making this an aggressive increase in conviction rather than a one-off bet.

$31,020 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Four-wallet No conviction cluster

Four wallets placed a concentrated $82.4K bet on No amid an extreme 1,101x volume spike, making this a notable coordinated market signal despite mixed individual track records.

Four wallets bought No for a combined $82,417, with the largest position worth $41,671.
The market saw a 1,101x spike versus its historical trading volume, suggesting unusually strong attention and positioning.
Two participating bettors have substantial lifetime profits, including $7.8M and $7.0M, though their individual win-rate edges are mixed.

$82,417 on No

94% win-rate bettor buys Villarreal

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,054 purchase of Villarreal Yes at near-even odds.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,909 resolved positions and is up $1.43 million.
They bought $2,054 of Yes at 49¢, a fresh position implying substantial confidence at near-even odds.
The wallet has traded across 612 events and 650 markets, suggesting an experienced, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate and substantial lifetime profit is making a fresh 50¢ Villarreal position, though the bet is modest relative to market liquidity.

This bettor has won 70% of 93 resolved trades and is up $84,832 lifetime.
The wallet is making a fresh $1,050 bet on Villarreal at 50¢ after trading across 108 events.
The market is highly liquid, so the position signals measured conviction rather than a market-moving wager.

$1,050 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

91% winner scaling into Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with a 91% win rate is adding to an existing $10,000 Yes position at market-implied odds.

This bettor has won 48 of 53 resolved trades and is up $37,454 lifetime.
They are adding $1,500 to an existing $10,000 Yes position at the 50¢ market price.
The wallet has traded across 27 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Proven sharp scaling into Yes

A highly profitable bettor with 580 resolved positions and a 33-point edge is adding $20,000 to an existing Villarreal Yes position at even odds.

This bettor wins 76% of 580 trades and is up $702,000 lifetime.
They are adding $20,000 to an existing $40,000 Yes position, bringing total exposure to $60,000.
The 50¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite the market being near evenly priced.

$20,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

94% win-rate bettor buys Villarreal

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $2,054 purchase of Villarreal Yes at near-even odds.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,909 resolved positions and is up $1.43 million.
They bought $2,054 of Yes at 49¢, a fresh position implying substantial confidence at near-even odds.
The wallet has traded across 612 events and 650 markets, suggesting an experienced, repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$2,054 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x1c27...b1ba — Outcome 44106826, $347,095 (100% win rate)
0xa962...f7c8 — Outcome 44106826, $57,926 (100% win rate)
0x29cc...3c29 — Outcome 44106826, $39,960 (97% win rate)
0xc6b1...78fd — Outcome 44106826, $36,268 (93% win rate)
0x209b...5706 — Outcome 44106826, $31,492 (48% win rate)
0xc974...b33b — Outcome 44106826, $29,765 (88% win rate)
0x23c8...f293 — Outcome 44106826, $27,505 (43% win rate)
0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 44106826, $26,000 (66% win rate)
0xa8bd...b7aa — Outcome 44106826, $21,500 (55% win rate)
0x9c1c...7980 — Outcome 44106826, $17,600 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?

ResolvedMálaga CF vs. Villarreal CF$199,130 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 17, 2026 If Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

74¢

47¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction