Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether the active-month WTI crude oil futures contract will print a 1-minute candle high of at least $100 at any time before the end of April 2026. It resolves Yes if that price is hit even once, and No if WTI stays below $100 for the entire period. The market is scheduled to resolve by April 30, 2026, and currently has limited but notable smart money activity tracked by PolySpotter.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,310.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
A profitable cross-market commodity trader with a 71% win rate is building a consistent bearish WTI thesis, buying No at 65¢ and already sitting on favorable follow-through as the market moved to 68¢.
- This bettor has won 71% of 80 resolved markets and is up $121k lifetime
- They placed $124.7k across 5 related WTI markets, showing a coordinated view rather than a one-off trade
- Bought No at 65¢ and the market is already at 68¢, with April oil-spike odds dropping 17 points in a day
$6,403 on No | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp oil thesis bettor
A highly profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is expressing a broader cross-market oil thesis here by effectively buying No at 54¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $262k across more than 1,000 bets
- They have put $18.3k across 4 related oil markets, which suggests a deliberate event-wide view rather than a one-off trade
- This trade effectively buys No at 54¢, meaning they do not expect WTI to hit $100 this month
$1,772 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp trio buying Yes
Three wallets aligned on Yes in a liquid oil market, led by one bettor with a 90% win rate across 144 resolved trades and a cross-market thesis, making this coordinated flow worth watching despite the modest dollar size.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 90% of their bets across 144 resolved markets.
- Three wallets all lined up on Yes in the same oil event, showing a shared thesis.
- They bought around 44-53¢, implying they see the current 42¢ price as undervalued.
$4,493 on Yes
79% win-rate oil bettor
A proven profitable wallet with a 79% win rate is building a sizable cross-market WTI thesis, making this fresh 49¢ Yes buy worth following.
- This bettor wins 79% of 1,046 resolved trades and is up $262k lifetime
- They have put $21.2k across 4 related oil markets, showing a broader event thesis rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Yes at 49¢ in a liquid market, implying they see the $100 touch as better than a coin flip
$4,642 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $81,131 (40% win rate)
- 0xff30...4a37 — No, $32,500 (62% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — No, $18,917 (62% win rate)
- 0x455b...59f2 — No, $16,874
- 0x3589...925f — No, $16,141
- 0xd1a4...8178 — No, $10,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x1a29...9b2e — No, $9,860 (71% win rate)
- 0xcf36...2919 — Yes, $6,773 (100% win rate)
- 0x777f...a1bb — Yes, $5,372 (79% win rate)
- 0xbfb3...4b43 — No, $4,998
