This bettor has won 72% of 81 resolved trades and is up about $211k lifetime. They have put about $156k across 6 related oil markets, which looks like a coordinated event-wide view rather than a one-off bet. This trade sold No at 50¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 50¢ near the current market price.

Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

27 smart money signals detected, totaling $81,450.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable wallet with a 72% win rate is building a cross-market thesis across six related oil markets, and this trade buys into strong momentum despite only modest size.

This bettor has won 72% of 81 resolved trades and is up about $211k lifetime
They have placed $157.6k across 6 related oil markets, which suggests a coordinated event-wide view
This trade is effectively buying Yes at 74¢ after a sharp move, with the market up 22.5 points in 1 day

$1,228 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable wallet with a 72% win rate is building a six-market oil thesis, and this trade converts to buying Yes at 62¢ in a market that has already surged 28 points over the week.

This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up about $211k lifetime.
They have placed $156.7k across 6 related oil markets, which points to a coordinated event-wide view rather than a one-off bet.
This sale of No equals buying Yes at 62¢, while the market is already up 28 points on the week.

$2,098 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

6-market oil thesis

Profitable cross-market trader with a 72% win rate is expressing the same oil thesis across six related markets, and this trade is equivalent to buying Yes at 50¢.

This bettor has won 72% of 81 resolved trades and is up about $211k lifetime.
They have put about $156k across 6 related oil markets, which looks like a coordinated event-wide view rather than a one-off bet.
This trade sold No at 50¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 50¢ near the current market price.

$1,629 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable oil thesis trader

Profitable cross-market trader with a 72% win rate is expressing the same bullish oil thesis across six related markets, and this trade is a binary sell of No that maps cleanly to buying Yes around 64¢.

This bettor wins 72% of their resolved trades and is up about $211k lifetime.
They have put $156.8k across 6 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-wide view rather than a one-off bet.
This trade sells No at 36¢, which is the same as buying Yes at 64¢ on a market that is already up 19.5 points this week.

$2,136 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp cross-market oil bettor

Profitable cross-market commodities trader with a 72% win rate is expressing the same WTI thesis across 6 related markets, and this trade implies buying Yes around 67¢.

This bettor has won 58 of 81 resolved trades and is up about $211k.
They have put $163k across 6 related WTI markets, showing a clear event-wide thesis rather than a one-off bet.
This trade was a sale of No at 33¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 67¢.

$8,235 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

91% winner buys No

A very high-win-rate cross-market trader with over 500 resolved wins bought No at 40¢ in this oil market, and the price has already moved in their favor.

This bettor wins 91% of their trades with 552 resolved bets and over $102k in profit
They trade across related markets at scale — 204 markets across 128 events and $4.56M total volume
They bought No at 40¢ and the market is now 36¢, so the position is already moving their way

$1,364 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%

Profitable oil-event trader

A profitable trader with a real edge sold into a sharp rally in a major oil market, which converts to a buy on No around 24¢.

This bettor wins 75% of their resolved trades and has beaten the market by a wide margin.
They sold Yes at 76¢ after this market jumped 20.5 points in a day and 34 points in a week.
That sale translates to buying No at 24¢, a low-price bet that oil stays below $100 this month.

$1,904 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable new wallet pressing Yes

A 6-day-old wallet has repeatedly made sizable bets across 9 positions and is already profitable, and this latest buy leans into a strong upside move in an active oil market.

This 6-day-old wallet has already made 9 positions and is up $633, which is unusual this early.
They bought $1.4k of Yes at 78¢ after this market jumped 19.5 points in a day and 27 points in a week.
The market is liquid and active, so this looks more like conviction on the oil move than a random punt.

$1,430 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 29%

93% winner in funded cluster

A proven 93% win-rate trader from an 11-wallet funded cluster bought into a fast-rising oil market during an extreme volume spike, making this coordinated momentum bet worth tracking.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades across 61 markets and has traded nearly $2.0M total
11 wallets share the same funder, suggesting one actor is deploying capital across multiple accounts
The market just saw a 136.6x volume spike and is up about 29 points in a week, backing the move higher

$1,545 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp oil-event trader

A proven high-win-rate trader with nearly $400k in profit is building a broad cross-market thesis across 11 related oil markets, making this small buy notable despite the market's good liquidity.

This bettor wins 85% of their trades and is up about $395k lifetime
They have bet $61k across 11 related oil markets in the same event, showing a coordinated thesis rather than a one-off punt
They bought Yes at 53¢ while this market has already moved up 12 points in a day, suggesting they still see upside

$1,040 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

0x0f58...0ff0 — Outcome 46668446, $263,502 (29% win rate)
0xff30...4a37 — Outcome 46668446, $32,500 (62% win rate)
0x64d9...46e6 — Outcome 46668446, $25,539 (62% win rate)
0xbfb3...4b43 — Outcome 46668446, $4,958 (68% win rate)
0xae46...7889 — Outcome 46668446, $4,359 (73% win rate)
0x1b27...8d42 — Outcome 46668446, $2,781
0x05c5...b39c — Outcome 46668446, $2,458
0xb5aa...5bd7 — Outcome 46668446, $2,009
0x218f...7ef2 — Outcome 46668446, $2,000
0x264c...baca — Outcome 46668446, $2,000 (65% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

WTI rallies but stays below $110

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Covers 11 related markets

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Covers 6 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 10 related markets

Lightning, Stars or Knights win

Covers 5 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in April 2026?$81,450 tracked27 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.