Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

24 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,470.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Cross-market oil whale

Surface because this is part of a large cross-market oil thesis from a high-volume wallet with positive lifetime P&L, even though the individual trade is modest.

This wallet has put about $477K across 14 related oil markets, suggesting a broad WTI thesis.
The bettor is up about $170K lifetime across $9.6M traded, despite a mixed win record.
This trade is equivalent to buying Yes at 67¢, against a market currently around 68¢.

$1,792 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

Profitable wallet is building a cross-market WTI upside thesis across 4 related markets with $16.5k total exposure.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up about $247k lifetime.
They have put $16.5k across 4 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-upside thesis.
This trade is effectively buying Yes at 67¢ despite the market dropping 15 points in the past day.

$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable 12-market oil thesis

Profitable wallet is building a broad WTI oil thesis across 12 related markets, though this individual re-entry is modest in size.

This bettor is up about $99.7K lifetime while trading nearly $2.0M in volume.
They have put about $135.7K across 12 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis.
This Yes buy at 74¢ has already moved to 79¢, so the market is following their direction.

$1,559 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable oil thesis bettor

Profitable wallet is extending a broad cross-market WTI thesis, with $132k across 12 related markets and positive lifetime P&L despite a modest win rate.

This wallet has put $132k across 12 related WTI markets, signaling a broad oil-price thesis.
The bettor is up about $99.8k lifetime despite winning only 49% of resolved bets, suggesting good sizing.
This buy adds to a market with strong momentum, with Yes up 18 points over the past week.

$1,742 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable oil ladder bettor

A profitable high-volume trader is building a broad oil-price ladder thesis across 12 related WTI markets, though this specific entry is relatively small.

This bettor is up about $102K lifetime while trading nearly $2M in volume.
They have positioned across 12 related WTI markets with about $132K total exposure.
Buying Yes at 81¢ follows a strong weekly move, with this market up 14% over the past week.

$1,911 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

89% winner buying Yes

Sharp wallet override: a bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Yes despite only a modest signal score.

This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up about $10k lifetime.
They bought nearly $2k of Yes at 90¢ as the market has moved +17 points this week.
The tight 1¢ spread and strong recent momentum support this as a high-confidence follow trade.

$1,955 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable oil ladder bettor

Profitable wallet is rebuilding a Yes position as part of a larger $133k cross-market WTI ladder thesis, though the entry is already expensive at 89¢.

This bettor is up about $104k lifetime and has traded 12 related WTI markets in the same event.
They previously put $56k into this same Yes outcome and are now buying back in at 89¢.
WTI ladder prices are moving with them: this market is up 20.5 percentage points over the past week.

$2,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

Profitable cross-market oil trader is re-entering Yes at 88¢ after building a $96k thesis across 12 related markets.

This bettor is up $111k lifetime and has traded $96k across 12 related oil markets.
They are buying Yes at 88¢ despite already taking a prior large Yes position at 79¢, suggesting renewed conviction.
The market has momentum, with Yes up 18% over the past week and a tight 1¢ spread.

$2,640 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable 12-market thesis

Profitable wallet is expressing a broad correlated thesis across 12 related oil markets with $93.7k positioned, though this specific add is modest and at a high 86¢ entry.

This bettor is up $111k lifetime and has placed $93.7k across 12 related markets.
They are buying back into a side they previously backed with $45.7k, suggesting renewed conviction rather than a one-off trade.
The odds have moved up 16.5 points this week, matching the direction of this continued buying.

$1,956 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%

88% serial cross-market bettor

Sharp 88% lifetime winner is expressing a bullish Yes view across multiple related WTI markets, with $137k deployed in this event.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $206k lifetime.
They have traded 7 related markets in this WTI event, totaling $138k of exposure.
Selling No at 16¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 84¢, matching the market’s recent upward move.

$1,094 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

0xe94b...5abe — Outcome 82170401, $15,992 (73% win rate)
0x0a6a...0da3 — Outcome 82170401, $10,000
0x3e1a...9732 — Outcome 82170401, $5,000 (87% win rate)
0x4a2b...af20 — Outcome 82170401, $4,000 (47% win rate)
0xba69...79ee — Outcome 82170401, $3,660
0x1024...9651 — Outcome 82170401, $3,039
0xba03...f857 — Outcome 82170401, $3,000
0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 82170401, $3,000 (89% win rate)
0x730a...51a0 — Outcome 82170401, $2,000 (45% win rate)
0xe2b1...7d2a — Outcome 82170401, $2,000 (46% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 10 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 6 related markets

WTI rallies but stays below $110

Covers 8 related markets

WTI trades between $80 and $100

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$48,470 tracked24 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.