Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

This Polymarket-style prediction market asks whether the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures contract will record a 1-minute candle high of $105 or more at any point during May 2026. Resolution is based on Pyth-published prices, without rounding, and the market is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2026 at 03:59:59 UTC. PolySpotter is tracking $1,955 in smart money activity, including one recent signal tied to a broader WTI thesis.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,955.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Macro whale in 12-market WTI thesis

A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 12 related markets with $373K positioned, though this specific leg is modest.

  • This high-volume bettor is positioned across 12 related WTI markets with $373K committed.
  • The wallet is up about $124K lifetime across $9.4M traded.
  • Entry at 46¢ on No implies they are fading WTI hitting $105 in May.

$1,955 on No | Wallet win rate: 42%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe734...4f0c No, $13,475 (42% win rate)
  2. 0xc8ab...6418 Yes, $4,207 (47% win rate)
  3. 0x5f45...a77a Yes, $3,500 (62% win rate)
  4. 0xa80e...b94b No, $2,562 (38% win rate)
  5. 0xbe21...65e5 Yes, $1,786 (49% win rate)
  6. 0x6992...6c1d Yes, $1,600 (34% win rate)
  7. 0x22ce...7f27 Yes, $1,465
  8. 0x76f5...f507 Yes, $1,259
  9. 0xbfb3...4b43 No, $1,145 (68% win rate)
  10. 0xedc9...e105 No, $1,069

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 23 related markets

Covers 12 related markets

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

22dWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$1,955 tracked1 signalFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil
Yes
53¢
No
48¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Price History — “Yes
68¢
60¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?

7h ago

$1,955 on No at 46¢

46¢48¢2¢

Related Theses