Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $209,274.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
14-market oil thesis
Surface as a cross-market oil thesis: this profitable high-volume wallet has positioned across 14 related WTI markets, though the specific trade is small relative to market liquidity.
- This wallet is up about $228K lifetime and has traded over $10M on resolved markets.
- The bettor has placed $533K across 14 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price view.
- This entry at 13¢ is a low-cost contrarian bet after Yes odds fell 44% over the past week.
$1,819 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
$528k oil thesis wallet
Surface as a broad cross-market oil thesis: this wallet has put over $528k across 14 related WTI markets and is profitable lifetime, though not a high-win-rate sharp.
- This wallet is betting across 14 related WTI markets, with $528k committed to the same event.
- The trader is up $227k lifetime on Polymarket, despite a mixed 42% hit rate.
- Buying No at 85¢ fits the recent momentum, with Yes odds down 20% today and 41% this week.
$5,868 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
91% WTI ladder bettor
Sharp 91% winner is taking a cross-market bullish oil thesis, effectively buying Yes around 25¢ across a related WTI event set.
- This bettor has won 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7K lifetime.
- They are building a broader WTI thesis across 4 related markets, with $31.8K total positioned.
- This trade is a contrarian Yes bet after the market fell 36.5% over the past week.
$3,805 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% oil sharp
Sharp wallet with a 91% resolved win rate is making a cross-market bullish oil-volatility bet, selling No on WTI hitting $110 after positioning across four related markets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7K lifetime.
- They have placed $32.9K across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No at 75¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 25¢, betting WTI can spike to $110 in May.
$4,871 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner buying oil spike
Sharp 91% winner is effectively buying Yes on the WTI $110 touch market while also positioning across four related markets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7k lifetime.
- They are building a broader oil thesis across 4 related markets with $33.8k total staked.
- Selling No is effectively buying Yes around 31¢, a contrarian entry after the market fell 24% this week.
$5,786 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner buying oil spike
Sharp 91% winner is taking a cross-market bullish oil tail-risk position by effectively buying Yes around 30¢ across four trades despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7K lifetime.
- They have built a $37.6K thesis across 4 related oil markets, suggesting more than a one-off bet.
- Selling No is the same as buying Yes around 30¢, implying they see upside despite the market now pricing Yes near 25¢.
$9,659 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner bullish oil
Sharp 91% winner is expressing a cross-market bullish oil thesis by selling No across related WTI $110 markets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7K lifetime.
- They have put $37.2K across 4 related oil markets, showing a clear bullish WTI thesis.
- Selling No here is effectively buying Yes around 27¢, despite the market falling sharply over the past week.
$9,257 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner buying oil spike
Sharp 91% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Yes around 25¢ while also positioning across four related WTI markets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7K lifetime.
- They have placed $32K across 4 related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- This trade is effectively buying Yes around 25¢ after the market fell 17% today.
$4,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% cross-market oil bettor
Sharp 91% winner is taking a cross-market bullish oil thesis, effectively buying Yes around 24.5¢ despite recent odds weakness.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7K lifetime.
- They have put $32.1K across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No is equivalent to buying Yes around 24.5¢, aiming for a roughly 4x payout if oil spikes.
$4,098 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
91% winner oil spike bet
Sharp 91% win-rate wallet is effectively buying Yes on a WTI $110 spike while building a cross-market oil thesis across four related markets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $42.7k lifetime.
- They have put $29.9k across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Selling No at 75¢ is effectively buying Yes at 25¢ on WTI touching $110 in May.
$1,934 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 27004724, $60,603 (99% win rate)
- 0x1664...a0ce — Outcome 27004724, $44,175
- 0xafc0...5087 — Outcome 27004724, $35,142 (67% win rate)
- 0x7d0b...840a — Outcome 27004724, $19,778
- 0x25db...28de — Outcome 27004724, $14,538 (50% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Outcome 27004724, $13,937 (78% win rate)
- 0x3e0b...4ff6 — Outcome 27004724, $13,078
- 0x6992...6c1d — Outcome 27004724, $9,709 (33% win rate)
- 0xba96...71d6 — Outcome 27004724, $8,295 (100% win rate)
- 0xa78b...d26d — Outcome 27004724, $7,937 (91% win rate)
Related Theses
WTI rallies but stays below $110
Covers 8 related markets
