Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
44 smart money signals detected, totaling $209,991.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Proven sharp buying upside
A highly profitable 84% win-rate wallet is effectively buying the 10¢ Yes side as part of a broader cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $429k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 112 markets across 44 events with $1.6M traded.
- Selling No at 90¢ is effectively buying Yes at 10¢, implying a high-upside view on WTI reaching $120.
$1,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
93% sharp oil bettor
Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 93% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record buying No on a liquid oil price market.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with 92 events and $1.24M tracked across related markets.
- Buying No at 89¢ means they are backing the view that WTI stays below $120 in May.
$1,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
91% winner oil thesis
A proven 91% lifetime winner is building a cross-market oil thesis, including a $4.1K BUY No position against WTI hitting $120 in May.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $411K lifetime.
- They have $43.9K spread across 3 related oil markets, showing a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Buying No at 90¢ aligns with the market moving away from Yes, down 7 points over the past week.
$4,098 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Profitable macro cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader is rebuilding a directional WTI oil thesis across 4 related markets, though this individual fill is modest in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up about $162k lifetime and has traded across 37 event groups.
- They have built a $15k position across 4 related WTI oil markets, suggesting a broader directional thesis.
- Entry at 15¢ is already ahead of the current 18¢ market price.
$1,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
91% winner buying oil spike
A highly proven wallet with a 91% win rate is effectively buying Yes on WTI hitting $120, supported by cross-market positioning in the same event.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $17K lifetime across 1,046 positions.
- They effectively bought Yes at 15¢ by selling No, implying a bet that the market is underpricing a WTI spike.
- The wallet has $13.9K positioned across two related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
$5,044 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp cluster buying oil spike
A profitable 77% winner joined a 3-wallet cluster buying Yes at 15¢ on a long-shot WTI $120 oil spike market.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $34.6K lifetime.
- Three wallets put $5.35K on the same Yes outcome at about 15¢.
- This is a contrarian entry after Yes fell 10% today, implying a long-shot oil spike thesis.
$5,350 on Yes
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
A profitable serial cross-market trader is rebuilding a low-priced Yes position across multiple related WTI markets, suggesting a directional oil-spike thesis despite only moderate signal strength.
- This bettor is up $161,877 lifetime across 154 resolved markets.
- They have traded 74 related markets across 37 events, showing a repeated cross-market strategy.
- This is part of a $9,088 position across 4 WTI markets, with entry at 15¢ offering high upside if oil spikes.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable oil tail-risk bettor
Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% record and strong edge is buying Yes on a crude oil tail-risk market despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $34.6K lifetime.
- Their wins came at much tougher odds, averaging 40¢ entries with a strong historical edge.
- They are building a related oil-market view across 2 markets, with $2.1K positioned in the event.
$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Sharp bettor buying NO
Sharp wallet override: an 81% lifetime winner with positive P&L is buying No despite only a weak single win-rate signal.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $16.7k lifetime.
- They bought $1.9k of No at 77¢, re-entering a view they previously held around 76¢.
- Entry at 77¢ implies they see the $120 oil spike as unlikely.
$1,925 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Profitable cross-market oil bear
A profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad bearish WTI ladder thesis across 12 related markets, though this specific add is small in a liquid market.
- This bettor is up about $98k lifetime and has placed $178k across 12 related oil markets.
- The trade adds to a broad bearish WTI thesis by buying No at 77¢ on the $120 target.
- This market is liquid, so the edge is more about the wallet’s cross-market positioning than price impact.
$1,082 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%
Top Holders
- 0x3e0b...4ff6 — Outcome 67788690, $460,405
- 0xafc0...5087 — Outcome 67788690, $53,283 (67% win rate)
- 0x25db...28de — Outcome 67788690, $50,460 (51% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 67788690, $48,167 (99% win rate)
- 0x7d0b...840a — Outcome 67788690, $30,604
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Outcome 67788690, $19,108 (78% win rate)
- 0x4ecb...514c — Outcome 67788690, $15,920 (55% win rate)
- 0x1664...a0ce — Outcome 67788690, $15,500
- 0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 67788690, $14,306 (62% win rate)
- 0xf71f...043a — Outcome 67788690, $5,400 (50% win rate)
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