Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

44 smart money signals detected, totaling $209,991.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Proven sharp buying upside

A highly profitable 84% win-rate wallet is effectively buying the 10¢ Yes side as part of a broader cross-market oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $429k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record: 112 markets across 44 events with $1.6M traded.
  • Selling No at 90¢ is effectively buying Yes at 10¢, implying a high-upside view on WTI reaching $120.

$1,080 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

93% sharp oil bettor

Surfacing because this is a highly profitable sharp wallet with a 93% historical win rate and extensive cross-market track record buying No on a liquid oil price market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with 92 events and $1.24M tracked across related markets.
  • Buying No at 89¢ means they are backing the view that WTI stays below $120 in May.

$1,911 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

91% winner oil thesis

A proven 91% lifetime winner is building a cross-market oil thesis, including a $4.1K BUY No position against WTI hitting $120 in May.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $411K lifetime.
  • They have $43.9K spread across 3 related oil markets, showing a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 90¢ aligns with the market moving away from Yes, down 7 points over the past week.

$4,098 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable macro cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market trader is rebuilding a directional WTI oil thesis across 4 related markets, though this individual fill is modest in a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up about $162k lifetime and has traded across 37 event groups.
  • They have built a $15k position across 4 related WTI oil markets, suggesting a broader directional thesis.
  • Entry at 15¢ is already ahead of the current 18¢ market price.

$1,326 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

91% winner buying oil spike

A highly proven wallet with a 91% win rate is effectively buying Yes on WTI hitting $120, supported by cross-market positioning in the same event.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $17K lifetime across 1,046 positions.
  • They effectively bought Yes at 15¢ by selling No, implying a bet that the market is underpricing a WTI spike.
  • The wallet has $13.9K positioned across two related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.

$5,044 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Sharp cluster buying oil spike

A profitable 77% winner joined a 3-wallet cluster buying Yes at 15¢ on a long-shot WTI $120 oil spike market.

  • One bettor in the cluster wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $34.6K lifetime.
  • Three wallets put $5.35K on the same Yes outcome at about 15¢.
  • This is a contrarian entry after Yes fell 10% today, implying a long-shot oil spike thesis.

$5,350 on Yes

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

A profitable serial cross-market trader is rebuilding a low-priced Yes position across multiple related WTI markets, suggesting a directional oil-spike thesis despite only moderate signal strength.

  • This bettor is up $161,877 lifetime across 154 resolved markets.
  • They have traded 74 related markets across 37 events, showing a repeated cross-market strategy.
  • This is part of a $9,088 position across 4 WTI markets, with entry at 15¢ offering high upside if oil spikes.

$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

Profitable oil tail-risk bettor

Sharp profitable wallet with a 77% record and strong edge is buying Yes on a crude oil tail-risk market despite recent price weakness.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $34.6K lifetime.
  • Their wins came at much tougher odds, averaging 40¢ entries with a strong historical edge.
  • They are building a related oil-market view across 2 markets, with $2.1K positioned in the event.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp bettor buying NO

Sharp wallet override: an 81% lifetime winner with positive P&L is buying No despite only a weak single win-rate signal.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $16.7k lifetime.
  • They bought $1.9k of No at 77¢, re-entering a view they previously held around 76¢.
  • Entry at 77¢ implies they see the $120 oil spike as unlikely.

$1,925 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable cross-market oil bear

A profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad bearish WTI ladder thesis across 12 related markets, though this specific add is small in a liquid market.

  • This bettor is up about $98k lifetime and has placed $178k across 12 related oil markets.
  • The trade adds to a broad bearish WTI thesis by buying No at 77¢ on the $120 target.
  • This market is liquid, so the edge is more about the wallet’s cross-market positioning than price impact.

$1,082 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3e0b...4ff6 Outcome 67788690, $460,405
  2. 0xafc0...5087 Outcome 67788690, $53,283 (67% win rate)
  3. 0x25db...28de Outcome 67788690, $50,460 (51% win rate)
  4. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 67788690, $48,167 (99% win rate)
  5. 0x7d0b...840a Outcome 67788690, $30,604
  6. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Outcome 67788690, $19,108 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x4ecb...514c Outcome 67788690, $15,920 (55% win rate)
  8. 0x1664...a0ce Outcome 67788690, $15,500
  9. 0xf9b7...60a4 Outcome 67788690, $14,306 (62% win rate)
  10. 0xf71f...043a Outcome 67788690, $5,400 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 10 related markets

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WTI rallies but stays below $110

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Cavaliers cover in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Natural gas whipsaws in May

Covers 4 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$209,991 tracked44 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

21d ago

$1,080 on Yes at 10¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

22d ago

$1,911 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

22d ago

$4,098 on No at 90¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

23d ago

$1,326 on Yes at 15¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

23d ago

$5,044 on Yes at 15¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

23d ago

$5,350 on Yes at 15¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

23d ago

$3,000 on Yes at 15¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

23d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 15¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

24d ago

$1,925 on No at 77¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

24d ago

$1,082 on No at 77¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

24d ago

$2,240 on Yes at 27¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

24d ago

$1,472 on Yes at 24¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

25d ago

$5,114 on No at 76¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

25d ago

$2,056 on Yes at 24¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

25d ago

$1,444 on No at 76¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

25d ago

$12,601 on Yes at 26¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

25d ago

$3,147 on Yes at 23¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

26d ago

$1,754 on Yes at 20¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

26d ago

$15,374 on No at 78¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

26d ago

$14,159 on No at 76¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

26d ago

$11,643 on Yes at 25¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

26d ago

$1,688 on No at 79¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

27d ago

$1,768 on Yes at 22¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

29d ago

$1,711 on No at 81¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

30d ago

$51,666 on No at 75¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

32d ago

$10,000 on No at 79¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

32d ago

$2,000 on No at 80¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

33d ago

$1,718 on No at 80¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

34d ago

$2,814 on Yes at 17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

36d ago

$5,555 on No at 86¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

38d ago

$1,496 on No at 80¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

38d ago

$1,240 on No at 62¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

39d ago

$3,000 on No at 60¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

39d ago

$2,000 on No at 58¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

40d ago

$1,018 on No at 54¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

41d ago

$6,303 on Yes at 41¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

41d ago

$3,014 on No at 59¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

41d ago

$4,429 on Yes at 42¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

43d ago

$2,352 on No at 61¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

43d ago

$1,534 on No at 55¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

44d ago

$1,157 on Yes at 45¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

44d ago

$2,705 on No at 50¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

44d ago

$1,531

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

45d ago

$2,472

Related Theses