Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $16,663.

Notable Trades

New whale piling into Yes

A brand-new wallet is repeatedly deploying meaningful size into the same oil threshold thesis across related markets, suggesting fresh conviction worth watching despite no track record yet.

  • This wallet is less than 1 hour old and has already been flagged 16 times for large bets totaling $15.7k
  • They bought Yes six times in a row at 50¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than a one-off trade
  • The same wallet is betting across 2 related oil markets, pointing to a broader thesis on a sharp upside move

$5,885 on Yes

Fresh wallet pressing Yes

A brand-new wallet has already fired repeated large bets across this event, including a nearly $5k concentrated buy on Yes at 50¢, which is notable despite no proven track record yet.

  • This wallet is less than 1 hour old and has already been flagged 15 times for large bets totaling about $14.7k
  • All 5 trades stacked into Yes at 50¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than a one-off punt
  • The market is active and liquid, so paying 50¢ suggests the bettor sees materially better than even odds of a $130 spike

$4,905 on Yes

New whale averaging up

A brand-new wallet is repeatedly sizing into the same oil threshold market and related contracts, including an early fill at 20¢ before the market moved to 50%, which suggests strong conviction rather than routine flow.

  • This wallet is only 32 minutes old but has already been flagged 11 times for large bets totaling $10.8k
  • They bought this outcome six times and kept buying even after the price jumped from 20¢ to 50¢
  • The first fill at 20¢ is now marked near 50¢, showing they moved in before the market repriced

$5,873 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x6adc...beba No, $207,403 (51% win rate)
  2. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $108,549 (78% win rate)
  3. 0xb47a...6d60 No, $59,991 (80% win rate)
  4. 0x97f3...0eba Yes, $46,718 (43% win rate)
  5. 0xe876...dea5 Yes, $31,760
  6. 0x2e4d...f703 No, $24,130
  7. 0xfe2d...0e62 Yes, $21,715 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xa953...8bf7 No, $21,066
  9. 0xa092...11e3 No, $18,254
  10. 0x1cd2...7f85 No, $17,922 (76% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

25d$16,663 tracked3 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOilRewards 50, 4.5, 100
Yes
49¢
No
52¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month, consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

1h ago

$5,885 on Yes at 50¢

50¢49¢1¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

1h ago

$4,905 on Yes at 50¢

50¢49¢1¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

2h ago

$5,873 on Yes at 45¢

45¢49¢4¢

Related Theses

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | PolySpotter