Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

This Polymarket tracks whether the active month of WTI crude oil futures records any 1-minute candle with a low at or below $85 at any time before the end of April 2026. Traders use this market to price the odds of a sharp downside move in oil during the month, with resolution based on official futures price action. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,887 in smart money tied to this market across 1 signal.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,264.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Sharp oil thesis bettor

A proven profitable wallet with a 73% win rate is building a broader cross-market oil thesis, buying No at 26¢ across five related markets.

  • This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $83k across 373 bets
  • They have put $27.7k across 5 related oil markets, pointing to a coordinated event-wide view
  • Buying No at 26¢ means they only need this level to miss about 1 time in 4 to be right

$1,887 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable 5-market oil thesis

A profitable wallet with 373 resolved bets is building a 5-market cross-market thesis on WTI and bought No at 28¢ despite a sharp 1-day move higher in this contract family.

  • This bettor wins 73% of their trades and is up $83k across 373 resolved markets
  • They placed $27k across 5 related oil markets, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought No at 28¢ after this market moved 22 points in a day, signaling they think the selloff odds are overpriced

$1,377 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x32b4...8b21 Yes, $78,354 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xe94b...5abe No, $22,111 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x64d9...46e6 Yes, $20,049 (62% win rate)
  4. 0xe734...4f0c Yes, $15,979 (39% win rate)
  5. 0x7334...81da No, $14,740 (27% win rate)
  6. 0xff30...4a37 Yes, $11,567 (62% win rate)
  7. 0x4bbe...2cf3 No, $6,467 (78% win rate)
  8. 0xb15b...5215 No, $5,096 (80% win rate)
  9. 0xaa98...90bb No, $4,579 (48% win rate)
  10. 0xe661...b679 No, $4,191 (20% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

14d$3,264 tracked2 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownCommoditiesOil
Yes
75¢
No
26¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

Price History — “Yes
76¢
56¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

2m ago

$1,887 on No at 26¢

26¢26¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?

1h ago

$1,377 on No at 28¢

28¢26¢2¢

Related Theses

WTI Crude Oil $85 Low in April 2026 Odds | PolySpotter