Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?
This Polymarket asks whether the active month of WTI crude oil futures will print a 1-minute candle low of $95 or below at any time before the end of April 2026. It resolves to Yes if that price is touched on the contract’s recorded low, and No if WTI stays above $95 for the full market window. The market is scheduled to resolve by April 30, 2026, and currently shows limited but notable smart money activity from a profitable oil-focused trader.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and the final trading day during April 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For WTI futures, the active month refers to the nearest listed contract month. The active month changes at 6:00:00 PM ET at the start of the trading session two business days prior to that contract's last trading day, at which point the next listed contract becomes the active month. For WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, the last trading day is defined as three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day), consistent with CME contract specifications. Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours as listed on Pyth. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,311.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable wallet with a large resolved history is building a broader cross-market oil thesis, and this fresh $1.3k buy aligns with a multi-market pattern worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades across 372 markets and is up $83k lifetime
- They have been trading 15 related oil markets with $276k in total size, showing a sustained event-wide thesis
- This trade bought No at 35¢ while the market had just dropped 9.4 points in a day, suggesting they see the selloff as overdone
$1,311 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Top Holders
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — No, $55,034 (78% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Yes, $46,269 (64% win rate)
- 0xff30...4a37 — Yes, $27,084
- 0xe94b...5abe — No, $16,045 (73% win rate)
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $15,648 (39% win rate)
- 0x4a2b...af20 — No, $7,000 (39% win rate)
- 0x1d57...c5b6 — No, $5,414
- 0x993c...6787 — No, $5,000
- 0x2e4d...f703 — Yes, $5,000
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — No, $4,253 (88% win rate)
