Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
33 smart money signals detected, totaling $108,116.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market oil trader
Profitable wallet with $137k lifetime P&L is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 12 related markets, with current market momentum supporting the Yes buy.
- This wallet is up $137k lifetime and has traded $213k across 12 related oil markets.
- They are buying into a strong move, with Yes up 12.5 points over the past day.
- This looks like a thesis shift after closing a prior No position on this same market.
$1,140 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
Profitable oil-market flipper
A profitable high-volume oil-market trader appears to be flipping from a large prior No position into Yes while also positioning across 12 related markets.
- This trader is up $136.9K lifetime and has put $213K across 12 related oil markets.
- They previously had a much larger No position here, but has now flipped to buying Yes at 77¢.
- The market has moved sharply toward Yes, up 20.5 points in the past day.
$2,340 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
Cross-market oil bettor
Positive-P&L wallet is building a broad cross-market oil thesis across 12 related WTI markets, with current odds already moving strongly toward this side.
- This wallet is up $126,886 lifetime and has traded $208k across 12 related oil markets.
- They are buying Yes at 76¢ after previously closing a large No position, suggesting a directional flip.
- The market has momentum in the same direction, with Yes up 15 points in the last day.
$1,213 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
Profitable cross-market oil trader
Profitable serial cross-market wallet is taking the No side as part of a broader 4-market WTI thesis, though the individual trade size is modest.
- This bettor is up $162k lifetime across 154 resolved trades.
- They have a recurring cross-market style, with 38 events and $817k traded in similar setups.
- This is part of a broader 4-market WTI position totaling $11.6k.
$1,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable WTI ladder bettor
Profitable wallet is building a large 14-market WTI crude thesis, with $585k positioned across the event and a fresh $5.3k Yes buy at 85¢.
- This wallet is up $189k lifetime and has placed $585k across 14 related WTI markets.
- The trade adds to a broad oil-price thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Yes is already up 12 points today, so this buy is following strong market momentum.
$5,300 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%
$209K oil ladder bettor
A profitable wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis with $209k across 12 related oil markets, though this specific add is modest and slightly above current odds.
- This bettor has put $209k across 12 related oil markets, showing a broad WTI thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- The wallet is up $117k lifetime on $3.1M traded, despite only winning about half its resolved bets.
- They previously closed a large No position here and are now buying Yes, suggesting a directional flip.
$2,304 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
$577k cross-market oil bettor
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 14 related markets totaling about $577k, with this leg effectively buying No on $95 at 41¢.
- This wallet has put about $577k across 14 related WTI markets, suggesting a broad oil-price thesis.
- The bettor is profitable overall, up $188k across nearly $10M of resolved trading volume.
- This trade effectively buys No at 41¢, fading the market’s prior 59¢ Yes pricing.
$1,613 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
Profitable oil thesis bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a cross-market oil thesis, and this No position has already moved sharply in its favor from 34¢ to 42¢.
- This bettor has a long record: 382 resolved trades, 68% wins, and $17K lifetime profit.
- They have put $36.6K across related oil markets, suggesting a broader WTI thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 34¢ has already moved to 42¢, showing the market is following their direction.
$1,415 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable oil thesis bettor
Profitable cross-market trader is buying No on a WTI $95 touch after building related oil positions, with the trade already moving from 35¢ to 41¢.
- This bettor is up $162k lifetime across 154 resolved trades.
- They have put $36.6k into related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- Entry at 35¢ has already moved to 41¢, but the copy ceiling leaves room up to 45¢.
$10,498 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable oil ladder trader
Profitable high-volume trader is positioning across 12 related WTI markets and has flipped from a prior No stance into buying Yes after strong price momentum.
- This bettor is up about $98k lifetime and has placed $187k across 12 related oil markets.
- They closed a large No position here and flipped to buying Yes at 75¢, now trading around 80¢.
- The market has moved sharply in their direction, with Yes up 32.5 percentage points in the past day.
$1,220 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 52%
Top Holders
- 0x7447...a16d — Outcome 56674142, $100,154 (56% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 56674142, $20,430 (99% win rate)
- 0x8088...d2ea — Outcome 56674142, $14,580
- 0xbfb3...4b43 — Outcome 56674142, $9,987 (68% win rate)
- 0xb352...4fa1 — Outcome 56674142, $6,530 (100% win rate)
- 0xb416...c7a1 — Outcome 56674142, $6,200 (63% win rate)
- 0xe2b1...7d2a — Outcome 56674142, $5,466 (46% win rate)
- 0x7253...89ed — Outcome 56674142, $4,204
- 0x7dd0...2b4b — Outcome 56674142, $3,367 (65% win rate)
- 0xf27d...e6d3 — Outcome 56674142, $2,615 (24% win rate)
Related Theses
WTI rallies but stays below $110
Covers 8 related markets
Natural gas whipsaws in May
Covers 4 related markets
WTI rallies to $110
Covers 2 related markets
WTI trades between $80 and $100
Covers 4 related markets
