What is the Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance in the Wimbledon ATP match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel. It resolves to the player who wins or advances from the matchup.

When does the Mensik vs Samuel Wimbledon ATP market resolve?

The market is set to resolve by July 6, 2026, after the match result is known or according to the listed cancellation and delay rules.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking for this match?

PolySpotter currently tracks $2,020 in smart money for this market across 1 signal, with alerts mentioning sharp activity on Mensik, reversals, and profitable bettor clusters involving Samuel.

Where can I find live Mensik vs Samuel Polymarket odds?

You can use PolySpotter to monitor the live prediction market odds, smart money signals, and sharp-wallet activity for Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel as the match approaches.

Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel

Q: How does this market resolve if the match is canceled or delayed?

If the match is not played, ends without a winner, or is delayed more than 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, the market follows the stated cancellation and delay resolution rules.

This Polymarket-style prediction market tracks who will advance in the Wimbledon ATP match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. PolySpotter is tracking $2,020 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal, including recent sharp alerts around Mensik and Samuel positioning. The market is scheduled to resolve by July 6, 2026, depending on the official match result or cancellation/delay rules.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $138,425.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a 73% record and $176k lifetime profit is buying Mensik amid a major pre-match volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up $176k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 238 events with nearly $785k in tracked volume.
The market saw a 710x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong fresh interest before the match.

$2,020 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable Samuel cluster

Three wallets, including a profitable high-volume cross-market trader, moved $8.6k in the same direction on Toby Samuel during a 33x pre-event volume spike.

Three wallets are all backing Toby Samuel with $8.6k in one-sided flow.
The lead wallet has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up $176,877 lifetime.
This came during a 33x volume spike, with entries as low as 19¢ before Samuel reached 38¢.

$8,649 on Toby Samuel

98% win-rate tennis sharp

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 98% resolved win record and positive lifetime P&L, though the market has moved sharply against their 85¢ Mensik entry.

This bettor has won 52 of 53 resolved bets and is up $20,742 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 57 events with a 98% hit rate.
They bought Mensik at 85¢, while the market is now around 62¢, offering a much cheaper follow if their edge holds.

$1,707 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 98%

Sharp funded cluster flipped sides

A linked 4-wallet cluster including a 97% winner with $3.8M profit bought Toby Samuel before the market moved sharply from the 30s to 77%.

A bettor who wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M backed this side with a $10,000 buy.
Four wallets funded by the same source all bought Toby Samuel, totaling $14,783 in one direction.
Their average entry was about 38¢ and the market has already moved to 77¢, showing the trade was early and right so far.

$8,481 on Toby Samuel

Sharp cluster hit by reversal

Proven 79% winner and linked-wallet cluster bought Mensik, but the market has since moved sharply against the entry from 69¢ to 23¢.

This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $21.6K lifetime.
Four linked wallets share a funder and have been active around this same side.
The entry was 69¢, but Mensik is now 23¢ after a major move against the position.

$2,084 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 80%

97% win-rate tennis sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 97% win rate and $3.7M profit bought Mensik at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
They bought $9.8K of Mensik at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 267 events with nearly $9M deployed.

$10,000 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 96%

97% win-rate tennis sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 97% win rate and $3.7M profit bought Mensik at 43¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.7M lifetime.
They bought $9.8K of Mensik at 43¢, and the market has already moved to 47¢.
This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 267 events with nearly $9M deployed.

$44,735 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 96%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a 73% record and $176k lifetime profit is buying Mensik amid a major pre-match volume spike.

This bettor has won 73% of 165 resolved bets and is up $176k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 238 events with nearly $785k in tracked volume.
The market saw a 710x pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong fresh interest before the match.

$2,520 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 73%

81% win-rate sports sharp

A highly profitable 81% win-rate sports bettor with massive cross-market history bought Toby Samuel, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $4.25M lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 422 events with $5.77M in flagged cross-market volume.
They bought Toby Samuel at 49¢; the market is now 36¢, meaning followers can enter below the sharp’s price.

$5,510 on Toby Samuel | Wallet win rate: 81%

78% serial sports sharp

Proven profitable wallet with a 78% record and extensive cross-market history bought Mensik at 45%, well before the market moved to 64%.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $477K lifetime.
They are a heavy cross-market trader across 168 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
Entry at 45¢ beat the current 64¢ market price, showing the trade was early and well-timed.

$1,350 on Jakub Mensik | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 12293242, $26,303 (96% win rate)
0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 12293242, $21,670 (81% win rate)
0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 12293242, $11,185 (71% win rate)
0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 12293242, $5,817 (73% win rate)
0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 12293242, $3,500 (39% win rate)
0x8c0b...7aa5 — Outcome 12293242, $3,333 (59% win rate)
0xe1c0...ecf1 — Outcome 12293242, $2,857 (75% win rate)
0xb826...635a — Outcome 12293242, $2,683 (91% win rate)
0x58b3...653c — Outcome 12293242, $2,500 (49% win rate)
0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 12293242, $2,099

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Iraq Norway goal fest

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium dominates Iran early

Covers 4 related markets

Czechia wins big early

Covers 3 related markets

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel

4dWimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel$138,425 tracked14 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jakub Mensik' if Jakub Mensik advances against Toby Samuel. This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Jakub Mensik. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Jakub Mensik”

102¢

62¢

23¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction