Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baez
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baez
This Polymarket covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 6, 2026 if delays occur. PolySpotter is tracking $6,835 in smart money activity and recent sharp interest around both Baez and Struff.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $63,002.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buys Struff
Three profitable, high-volume tennis bettors aligned on Struff, with one early 15¢ fill followed by continued buying around the current price and a large upward price impact.
- Three winning wallets are all on Struff, including two bettors up $160k+ and $503k lifetime.
- The price jumped hard after the flow, from a 15¢ early entry to roughly 52¢ now.
- Buying continued near current odds, including a 53¢ buy and an equivalent Struff buy from selling Baez.
$6,835 on Jan-Lennard Struff
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 72% resolved win rate and nearly $496k lifetime profit made a $9.8k contrarian buy, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 72% of 164 resolved markets and is up about $496k lifetime.
- They placed $9.8k on Struff at 44¢ during a 70x volume spike on match day.
- The price has since fallen to 14¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow rather than confirmed momentum.
$2,863 on Jan-Lennard Struff | Wallet win rate: 72%
98% winner bought early
Elite 98% win-rate tennis bettor bought Sebastian Baez at 53¢ before the market surged to 86¢ amid a major volume spike.
- This bettor has won 50 of 51 resolved bets and is up $22,129 lifetime.
- They bought Sebastian Baez at 53¢ before the market jumped to 86¢.
- This wallet has traded 51 similar events with a 98% hit rate, and volume spiked 70x here.
$1,943 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 98%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports trader with a 72% resolved win rate and nearly $496k lifetime profit made a $9.8k contrarian buy, though the market has moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 72% of 164 resolved markets and is up about $496k lifetime.
- They placed $9.8k on Struff at 44¢ during a 70x volume spike on match day.
- The price has since fallen to 14¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow rather than confirmed momentum.
$9,808 on Jan-Lennard Struff | Wallet win rate: 72%
Elite sharps pile into Baez
Three wallets pushed Sebastian Baez sharply higher, led by two extremely profitable bettors with 98–99% historical win rates and strong cross-market track records.
- Two proven bettors are on Baez, including one with 99% wins across 892 resolved bets and $505k profit.
- All three trades point the same way, with $7.6k buying Baez as the market jumped from roughly 38–53¢ entries to 78¢.
- Volume spiked 31x before the match, suggesting this move was driven by concentrated sharp flow.
$7,647 on Sebastian Baez
99% winner bought early
Elite sports wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and $505k profit bought Sebastian Baez at 38¢ before the market moved to 51¢.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved bets and is up about $505k lifetime.
- They bought Sebastian Baez at 38¢ before the market moved to 51¢.
- This wallet has traded 261 related events with a 99% win rate, suggesting a strong repeatable edge.
$1,864 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 99%
Sharp underdog tennis bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 78% win rate and strong lifetime profit is taking a contrarian underdog position on Baez at 8¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $185K lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 82 events with $430K traded.
- Buying Baez at 8¢ is a high-upside underdog position against a market pricing him near 6%.
$2,265 on Sebastian Baez | Wallet win rate: 78%
89% serial sports trader
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate is buying Struff despite an already-risen price.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades across 56 results and is profitable lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 27 events with over $413K in tracked bets.
- Buying Struff at 82¢ after a 15-point move suggests continued confidence despite the favorite price.
$2,517 on Jan-Lennard Struff | Wallet win rate: 90%
8-wallet sharp tennis cluster
Eight wallets, including several profitable serial sports traders, bought the same tennis outcome around 54¢ before it moved to 100¢.
- Eight wallets put $27k on the same side, mostly around 49–62¢, before the market moved to 100¢.
- Several wallets have strong records, including one up $185k with 78% wins and another up $161k with 72% wins.
- Volume spiked 94x above normal, suggesting coordinated conviction rather than routine activity.
$27,259 on Jan-Lennard Struff
Top Holders
- 0xafac...8730 — Outcome 12254558, $11,061 (78% win rate)
- 0x6982...a165 — Outcome 12254558, $4,939 (99% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 12254558, $3,742 (76% win rate)
- 0x3ca9...698d — Outcome 12254558, $3,668 (98% win rate)
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 12254558, $3,665 (73% win rate)
- 0xf5f8...786d — Outcome 12254558, $2,232 (100% win rate)
- 0x6318...46b1 — Outcome 12254558, $2,170
- 0x48de...95ba — Outcome 12254558, $1,549 (79% win rate)
- 0xd034...eece — Outcome 12254558, $1,464
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 12254558, $1,409 (40% win rate)
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