Part of: Wimbledon ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinski
Wimbledon ATP: Vit Kopriva vs Jan Choinski
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Wimbledon ATP match between Vit Kopriva and Jan Choinski, scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by July 6, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $30,946 in smart money and 5 recent signals, including sharp activity on Choinski and underdog buying.
10 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,283.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games, Wimbledon
Notable Trades
91% winner backs favorite
A proven sports bettor with a 91% record bought Jan Choinski at 82¢ amid a massive pre-match volume spike and the price has already moved to 86¢.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades across 211 positions.
- They bought Jan Choinski at 82¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- Volume spiked 487x above normal ahead of the match, supporting the move.
$1,646 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 91%
$16M-profit serial trader
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Jan Choinski before a major volume spike and immediate price move from 79% to 86%.
- This bettor has made over 18,000 resolved trades, wins 63%, and is up $16.4M lifetime.
- They bought Jan Choinski at 79¢ before the market moved to 86¢.
- Market volume spiked 487x above normal, suggesting heavy pre-match positioning.
$2,315 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 63%
Profitable contrarian sports whale
A very high-volume profitable sports trader is taking a contrarian Kopriva position amid a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price collapse.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 49,572 resolved bets and over $4.1M in lifetime profit.
- They bought Kopriva at 28¢ while the market was moving sharply against him, making this a contrarian underdog position.
- The market saw a 1,533x volume spike and Kopriva’s price has fallen 39% in a day, so this is a volatile pre-match spot.
$1,342 on Vit Kopriva | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
High-scoring one-sided cluster: four profitable wallets, including 77% and 83% winners, put $24k on Vit Kopriva amid a 160x pre-event volume spike.
- Four wallets put $24k on the same 20¢ underdog side before the match.
- Two standout bettors win 77% and 83% of resolved bets and are up $183k combined.
- Most of the cluster bought at 24–28¢, while the market is now 20¢, offering a better entry than they got.
$24,184 on Vit Kopriva
95% winner buying favorite
Sharp tennis bettor with a 20-1 resolved record bought Jan Choinski at 73¢ ahead of a major volume spike and the market has already moved to 80¢.
- This bettor has won 20 of 21 resolved trades and is up $3,938 lifetime.
- They bought Jan Choinski at 73¢, and the market has already moved to 80¢.
- Volume is running 160x above normal, suggesting the match is drawing unusually strong pre-event money.
$1,460 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 95%
Sharp cluster on Choinski
Strong one-sided Choinski buying from three profitable wallets, including a 95% winner, coincided with a major volume spike and 30-point price move.
- Three wallets bought $15.3k of Jan Choinski, pushing him from around 70¢ to 80¢.
- One buyer has won 20 of 21 resolved bets, while another is up $3.1M lifetime.
- Market volume spiked over 1,500x normal, suggesting a major pre-match repricing.
$15,311 on Jan Choinski
83% sharp buying dip
Sharp 83% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history is taking a contrarian $4.1k position on Kopriva after a major price drop.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $135k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record across 68 events, with the same 83% win rate.
- The $4.1k buy came at 28¢ after a sharp move down, and the market is now even cheaper around 20¢.
$4,125 on Vit Kopriva | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable contrarian sports whale
A very high-volume profitable sports trader is taking a contrarian Kopriva position amid a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price collapse.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 49,572 resolved bets and over $4.1M in lifetime profit.
- They bought Kopriva at 28¢ while the market was moving sharply against him, making this a contrarian underdog position.
- The market saw a 1,533x volume spike and Kopriva’s price has fallen 39% in a day, so this is a volatile pre-match spot.
$2,388 on Vit Kopriva | Wallet win rate: 55%
High-hit-rate tennis regular
Serial sports bettor with a 76% hit rate across 271 resolved markets bought Jan Choinski at 40¢, though the wallet’s negative lifetime P&L tempers confidence.
- This bettor has won 76% of 271 resolved bets, with wins coming at average odds near 56¢.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $807K tracked across 155 events.
- Entry at 40¢ on Jan Choinski has already moved to about 42¢, suggesting early market support.
$4,613 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 73%
90% sports bettor
A high-win-rate sports bettor bought Vit Kopriva in a low-volume Wimbledon market, though lifetime P&L is negative so the signal is moderate rather than elite.
- This bettor has won 27 of 30 resolved bets, far above the odds they usually take.
- The $1.9K buy is large for this market, making up about 45% of the past day's volume.
- Entry at 60¢ implies they see Kopriva as meaningfully more likely than the market price.
$1,900 on Vit Kopriva | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xa9a6...0009 — Outcome 93557304, $15,447 (84% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 93557304, $11,856 (81% win rate)
- 0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 73331777, $7,532 (62% win rate)
- 0x0cdf...ec9e — Outcome 93557304, $3,167 (91% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 93557304, $2,724 (59% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Outcome 93557304, $1,950 (53% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 93557304, $1,631 (52% win rate)
- 0x815f...1eef — Outcome 93557304, $1,588 (86% win rate)
- 0x521c...f4aa — Outcome 93557304, $1,017
- 0x60ec...f7b0 — Outcome 93557304, $981 (72% win rate)
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