Part of: Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open: Mees Rottgering vs Tomas Machac
This prediction market covers the Winston-Salem Open match between Mees Rottgering and Tomas Machac, scheduled for August 25, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with $3,240 in tracked smart-money activity and one recorded signal; the market’s final resolution deadline is September 8, 2026, if the match outcome remains undetermined.
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $413,214.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Five-wallet Machac cluster
Five wallets bought Tomas Machac amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated sports-betting signal despite the lead wallet's only moderate track record.
- Five wallets are aligned on Tomas Machac, committing nearly $18,000 to the same outcome.
- Trading volume was 9,206x the recent average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.
- The lead bettor is up $431,000 lifetime across 4,730 resolved bets, though a 60% win rate is only moderate and the position has moved from 53% to 41%.
$3,240 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 60%
Three-wallet coordinated Rottgering exit
Three wallets sold nearly $95,000 of Mees Rottgering, including a highly profitable bettor, and the market has since fallen to 62%.
- Three wallets sold $94,684 of Mees Rottgering, creating a strong one-sided signal in a liquid tennis market.
- The largest seller has won 10 of 10 resolved bets and is up $273,267 lifetime.
- Mees Rottgering fell from the 67–79¢ sell entries to 62%, supporting the contrarian Tomas Machac thesis.
$94,684 on Tomas Machac
Linked wallets backing Machac
An 11-wallet, linked-funder cluster committed $53.9K to Tomas Machac amid a 439x volume spike, though the larger opposing Mees flow and underwater entries make this a high-risk contrarian signal.
- Eleven wallets tied to two funders bought $53,852 of Tomas Machac during a 439x volume spike.
- Two participants have unusually strong records, including 89% wins at a 64% average entry price and 81% wins at 68%.
- The signal is contrarian and risky: nine wallets put $265,030 into Mees Rottgering, while most Machac buyers already held losing positions.
$37,967 on Tomas Machac
Sharp bettor scaling into Rottgering
A highly profitable serial trader with an 89% win rate added roughly $56.7K to an existing position amid coordinated nine-wallet buying and a sharp price increase.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $2.95 million lifetime, with a 26-point edge over average implied odds.
- The wallet added $56.7K to an existing Rottgering position while nine wallets bought the same outcome for $265K total.
- Rottgering moved from roughly 63–67% to 78%, confirming strong market momentum behind the trade.
$56,740 on Mees Rottgering | Wallet win rate: 89%
Five-wallet Machac buying cluster
A five-wallet coordinated position and extreme pre-event volume spike make this a notable Tomas Machac thesis, despite the lead trader's only moderate historical edge and adverse price movement.
- Five wallets bought Tomas Machac together for nearly $18,000, signaling concentrated conviction.
- The market saw a 9,207x volume spike versus its 24-hour average before the match.
- The lead trader has 24,040 resolved bets and $6.5M in lifetime profit, though its 65% win rate is not exceptionally sharp relative to a 61¢ average winning price.
$4,958 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 65%
Four-wallet sharp tennis surge
Four wallets deployed $206,000 into Mees Rottgering, including highly profitable bettors, while the price surged nearly 28%.
- Four wallets bought $206,000 of Mees Rottgering, a substantial position relative to the market’s $338,000 liquidity.
- Two participating bettors have exceptional records: 90% wins across 288 trades and 89% across 71 trades.
- The buying pushed Mees Rottgering from roughly 51% to 65%, signaling strong coordinated conviction despite competing Machac bets.
$206,033 on Mees Rottgering
Five-wallet Machac buying cluster
A five-wallet coordinated position and extreme pre-event volume spike make this a notable Tomas Machac thesis, despite the lead trader's only moderate historical edge and adverse price movement.
- Five wallets bought Tomas Machac together for nearly $18,000, signaling concentrated conviction.
- The market saw a 9,207x volume spike versus its 24-hour average before the match.
- The lead trader has 24,040 resolved bets and $6.5M in lifetime profit, though its 65% win rate is not exceptionally sharp relative to a 61¢ average winning price.
$6,779 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 65%
Five-wallet Machac conviction cluster
Five wallets bought Tomas Machac for nearly $18,000 during an extreme volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction despite the position currently trading below entry.
- Five wallets bought Tomas Machac in the same direction, committing nearly $18,000.
- The market saw a 9,200x volume spike versus its recent average, suggesting unusually informed or urgent positioning.
- This wallet added to an existing $3,000 Machac position at 53¢, though the outcome has since fallen to 41¢.
$1,590 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 60%
Five-wallet Machac cluster
Five wallets bought Tomas Machac amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated sports-betting signal despite the lead wallet's only moderate track record.
- Five wallets are aligned on Tomas Machac, committing nearly $18,000 to the same outcome.
- Trading volume was 9,206x the recent average, suggesting unusually concentrated interest before the match.
- The lead bettor is up $431,000 lifetime across 4,730 resolved bets, though a 60% win rate is only moderate and the position has moved from 53% to 41%.
$1,222 on Tomas Machac | Wallet win rate: 60%
Top Holders
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 58854411, $39,487 (58% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 58854411, $15,069 (81% win rate)
- 0x42c9...9623 — Outcome 58854411, $13,489 (54% win rate)
- 0x6485...a265 — Outcome 58854411, $11,306 (60% win rate)
- 0x9caf...f5d5 — Outcome 58854411, $8,570
- 0x6129...0807 — Outcome 58854411, $7,400 (88% win rate)
- 0x7b10...acab — Outcome 58854411, $6,240 (59% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 58854411, $5,707 (60% win rate)
- 0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 58854411, $4,500 (59% win rate)
- 0xf8ab...13a1 — Outcome 58854411, $4,000 (68% win rate)
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