This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.26M lifetime They have traded 284 markets across 226 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet Buying Wizards at 7¢ means they only need about a 1-in-14 chance for this to pay off

Part of: Wizards vs. Heat

Wizards vs. Heat

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $981.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

91% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 91% win rate bought the 7¢ underdog, making this a sharp small-price position worth watching despite the modest size in a liquid market.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.26M lifetime
They have traded 284 markets across 226 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
Buying Wizards at 7¢ means they only need about a 1-in-14 chance for this to pay off

$981 on Wizards | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

0xb3cf...0ebd — Outcome 85884388, $62,260 (80% win rate)
0x3c15...35ae — Outcome 85884388, $30,000
0xca4b...521e — Outcome 85884388, $29,679
0xafe4...f3f7 — Outcome 85884388, $11,338 (100% win rate)
0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 85884388, $10,589 (74% win rate)
0x8b9a...5f69 — Outcome 85884388, $9,572
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 85884388, $9,357
0xbce9...03e9 — Outcome 85884388, $6,714
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 85884388, $4,137 (64% win rate)
0x3d0d...7435 — Outcome 85884388, $4,036 (78% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Wizards vs. Heat

ResolvedWizards vs. Heat$981 tracked1 signalSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

WAS

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17-60

Kaseya Center

MIA

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41-37

Draft Kings

Spread: MIA -18.5O/U: 245.5ML: +1200/-2400

Win Prob

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Last Play