Wuning: Tom Paris vs Ilia Simakin
This Polymarket tracks the Wuning tennis match between Tom Paris and Ilia Simakin, scheduled for April 5 at 10:00 PM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with a 50-50 resolution if the match is never played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $57,853 in smart money activity across 8 signals, including recent sharp buying on Simakin.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,853.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial cross-market bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market trader with nearly $1M deployed sold Ilia at 62¢, which converts to a buy on Tom Paris at 38¢ amid a sharp pre-match volume and price move.
- This wallet has traded 31 related markets across 30 events and is up about $430k.
- They sold Ilia at 62¢, which is the same as buying Tom Paris at 38¢.
- The market saw a 24x volume spike and a fast 17-point move right before this trade.
$4,239 on Tom Paris | Wallet win rate: 62%
3-wallet sharp cluster
Three wallets piled nearly $27k into Ilia Simakin during a major volume spike, and one of them has an exceptional 82% win rate while another is up $430k, making this coordinated move worth watching despite the market already repricing sharply.
- Three wallets put $26.9k on Ilia Simakin in a coordinated burst, including bettors with an 82% win rate and $430k profit.
- They bought as low as 40-41¢, and the market has since moved to 74¢, showing strong immediate follow-through.
- Market volume exploded 85x versus normal activity, which supports the idea that informed money rushed in fast.
$26,948 on Ilia Simakin
82% win-rate tennis bettor
An 82%-win-rate serial cross-market bettor sold Tom Paris, which converts to a BUY on Ilia Simakin around 53¢, alongside a 3-wallet one-sided cluster and elevated market activity.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades across 214 events and has handled $1.8M of volume
- Their sell of Tom Paris at 47¢ converts to buying Ilia Simakin at about 53¢
- Three wallets put $28k on the same side while volume spiked nearly 24x
$4,849 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 80%
Sharp cluster buying Simakin
A proven high-volume cross-market trader joined a 3-wallet one-sided push into Ilia Simakin at 41¢ before the market moved sharply higher to 55%.
- This bettor has traded 31 markets across 30 events and is up $430k overall.
- Three wallets bought Ilia Simakin in the same window for $28k total, showing clear one-sided conviction.
- This wallet got in at 41¢ and the market is now 55¢, a fast 14-point move in their favor.
$3,945 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 62%
3-wallet contrarian sports cluster
Three wallets all took the Ilia Simakin side into a fast-moving tennis market, including two serial cross-market bettors with strong history, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.
- Three wallets lined up on Ilia Simakin for $8.2k while the market swung hard the other way.
- Two of the wallets are active event traders; one wins 82% of resolved bets across 272 markets and another is up $430k lifetime.
- They bought at 63-65¢, far above the current 38¢ price, showing real conviction rather than chasing momentum.
$8,202 on Ilia Simakin
3-wallet momentum cluster
Three active wallets piled into Tom Paris within minutes at 30-37¢, and the coordinated buying immediately pushed the market from the low 30s to 50% on a major volume spike.
- Three wallets bought nearly $7.0k of Tom Paris in a few minutes, mostly at 30-37¢ before the market jumped to 50¢.
- Their buying helped drive a 17-point price move in about 2 minutes alongside a 67.5x volume spike.
- The wallets are high-volume and profitable overall, but not elite sharps, so this looks more like coordinated conviction than a pure track-record follow.
$6,973 on Tom Paris
Profitable serial event trader
Surface this because a high-volume serial cross-market trader with $430k realized profit bought into a sudden pre-match volume and price move, suggesting informed directional conviction.
- This bettor has made nearly $430k profit across 62 resolved bets and trades heavily across related events.
- They bought Ilia Simakin at 63¢ during a 79x volume spike and a fast 17-point move in about 2 minutes.
- The market is still fairly liquid, so this looks more like informed conviction than a random punt.
$1,110 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A profitable high-volume serial cross-market bettor with $430k P&L bought Ilia Simakin during an extreme pre-match volume surge, making this worth watching despite the modest single-ticket size.
- This bettor has won 61% of 62 resolved markets and is up about $430k overall.
- They trade heavily across events — 30 markets and about $932k flagged by the scanner.
- This buy came during a 331x pre-match volume spike, suggesting stronger-than-normal conviction around the match.
$1,587 on Ilia Simakin | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xd48d...5182 — Outcome 61173426, $2,795 (99% win rate)
- 0x7bc5...4626 — Outcome 61173426, $2,600 (94% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 61173426, $1,549
- 0x1f9f...2cb8 — Outcome 61173426, $802
- 0xacb4...7595 — Outcome 61173426, $691
- 0x6e2f...9123 — Outcome 61173426, $686
- 0x3a85...c9b6 — Outcome 61173426, $297
- 0x5e30...acbf — Outcome 61173426, $273 (66% win rate)
- 0x69dd...1964 — Outcome 61173426, $256 (55% win rate)
- 0xf69b...a6dd — Outcome 61173426, $233
