Part of: Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Zagreb: Jan Choinski vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
This prediction market covers the Zagreb tennis match between Jan Choinski and Juan Pablo Ficovich, scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 18, 2026 if a winner is determined within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $1,111 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including alerts about underdog buying and sharp tennis bettor movement.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan Choinski and Juan Pablo Ficovich in the Zagreb, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jan Choinski' if Jan Choinski advances against Juan Pablo Ficovich. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Ficovich' if Juan Pablo Ficovich advances against Jan Choinski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,071.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial sports trader momentum
Serial cross-market sports trader with a 70% resolved win rate bought Choinski as the market moved sharply upward, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has traded 128 events and wins 70% of 374 resolved bets.
- Choinski jumped 22 percentage points in 3 minutes, suggesting strong momentum behind this entry.
- The buy came at 65¢ on a liquid tennis market, implying confidence despite the price now sitting near 62¢.
$1,111 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 69%
94% winner buying underdog
Sharp wallet override: this bettor has a 17/18 resolved record with strong profit and bought Choinski at 49%, despite the market later moving against them.
- This bettor has won 17 of 18 resolved bets and is up $34k lifetime.
- They bought $3.2k of Choinski at 49%, showing real conviction from a proven tennis bettor.
- The market has since moved to 30%, so this is now a cheaper entry than the sharp wallet got.
$3,200 on Jan Choinski | Wallet win rate: 94%
Sharp tennis bettor moved line
A proven profitable bettor with an 82% record bought Ficovich at 54% before the market moved to 66%, despite only moderate automated signal severity.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $29.9K lifetime.
- They bought Ficovich at 54%, and the market has already moved to 66%.
- The wallet has been flagged 15 times before, suggesting repeated notable positioning.
$2,000 on Juan Pablo Ficovich | Wallet win rate: 83%
82% tennis sharp
A profitable 82% winner is adding $5.8k to Juan Pablo Ficovich in a tennis market despite only moderate automated signal strength.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up nearly $30k lifetime.
- They put $5.8k on Juan Pablo Ficovich, more than the market’s recent quiet-volume baseline in the alert.
- The entry around 55¢ implies they saw Ficovich as meaningfully better than a coin flip.
$5,760 on Juan Pablo Ficovich | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0xf1bf...492e — Juan Pablo Ficovich, $14,496 (83% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Jan Choinski, $12,861 (73% win rate)
- 0x3555...ba40 — Jan Choinski, $12,343 (99% win rate)
- 0x8b52...568e — Juan Pablo Ficovich, $7,281 (65% win rate)
- 0x547d...ea58 — Juan Pablo Ficovich, $6,793 (53% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Jan Choinski, $6,000 (38% win rate)
- 0x3354...5042 — Jan Choinski, $4,883 (69% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Jan Choinski, $3,590 (52% win rate)
- 0x1e33...afb3 — Juan Pablo Ficovich, $3,232 (53% win rate)
- 0x1624...bf63 — Jan Choinski, $3,070
