Part of: Zug: Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

Zug: Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $85,668.

Notable Trades

11-wallet linked tennis cluster

Eleven linked wallets deployed $56.5K on Thiago Seyboth Wild, including highly profitable bettors, alongside a major price move in a thinly resolved market.

Eleven linked wallets collectively bought $56,531 on Thiago Seyboth Wild, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
A bettor with a 98% win rate across 48 resolved trades bought $5,000 at 56¢.
The coordinated buying coincided with a 42-point price surge, though the market now shows 100% odds and offers little remaining value.

$56,531 on Thiago Seyboth Wild

Serial sharp in six-wallet Rincon cluster

A highly experienced serial trader with a strong positive track record joined a six-wallet, $25,284 one-sided move on Daniel Rincon despite buying at 50%.

This bettor has won 73% of 549 resolved trades and is up $324,242 lifetime, with an average winning entry near 51%.
Six wallets bought Daniel Rincon for a combined $25,284 during a 15.7x volume surge.
The trade entered at 50%, implying substantial conviction that Rincon was underpriced before the market moved sharply against him.

$1,500 on Daniel Rincon | Wallet win rate: 73%

98% winner adds to Thiago

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 98% win rate added $5,000 to Thiago Seyboth Wild at 56¢ before the market surged.

This bettor has won 43 of 44 resolved trades and is up $98,243.
They added $5,000 to an existing Thiago position at 56¢, showing increased conviction before the price reached 94¢.
The trade coincided with an 18.5-point price jump in under three minutes.

$5,000 on Thiago Seyboth Wild | Wallet win rate: 99%

Four-wallet Rincon buying cluster

Four wallets committed $22.6K toward Daniel Rincon, including three established profitable bettors adding at 31¢ and a large equivalent buy at 25¢, though some positions were already open.

Four wallets committed $22,638 to Daniel Rincon, with three established profitable bettors adding at 31¢.
A $17,988 sale of Thiago Seyboth Wild at 75¢ is equivalent to buying Rincon around 25¢.
The market moved from 31¢ to 48%, indicating the coordinated betting was followed by a sharp repricing.

$22,638 on Daniel Rincon

Top Holders

0x27b0...fc67 — Outcome 45675082, $7,600 (73% win rate)
0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 45675082, $5,498 (60% win rate)
0xa569...08df — Outcome 45675082, $5,000 (35% win rate)
0x9ace...c46e — Outcome 45675082, $4,000 (46% win rate)
0x41cf...6002 — Outcome 45675082, $3,270 (95% win rate)
0x081e...f76e — Outcome 45675082, $1,185 (93% win rate)
0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 45675082, $1,111 (95% win rate)
0x1bc8...8a23 — Outcome 45675082, $1,000
0xfc0f...a5fc — Outcome 45675082, $690
0xd2b0...cfa1 — Outcome 45675082, $582

Related Theses

Zug: Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild

ResolvedZug: Daniel Rincon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild$85,668 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Rincon and Thiago Seyboth Wild in the Zug, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Rincon' if Daniel Rincon advances against Thiago Seyboth Wild. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Seyboth Wild' if Thiago Seyboth Wild advances against Daniel Rincon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Thiago Seyboth Wild”

77¢

63¢

50¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction