Foreign Policy

4 signals across 4 markets

Foreign Policy Markets with Smart Money Signals

  1. US takes Panama Canal before 2027? 1 signal, $4,452 tracked
  2. Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 1 signal, $56,519 tracked
  3. Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? 1 signal, $3,850 tracked
  4. Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? 1 signal, $6,951 tracked
US takes Panama Canal before 2027?
274d2d ago

99% win rate · +$37,997

💎
Whale_0x3de2e
DIAMOND99% WR
$4,452 on Yes at 12¢
  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades with 531 wins and just 7 losses
  • They effectively bought Yes at 12¢ by selling No at 88¢, a very contrarian entry versus the current 9¢ market
  • The trade was $4.45k in a market with $0 24h volume, so this was a meaningful conviction bet
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
274d2d ago

99% win rate · +$37,997

💎
Whale_0x3de2e
DIAMOND99% WR
$56,519 on Yes at 10¢
  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades, with 531 wins and over $100k in profit.
  • They effectively bought Yes at 10¢ by selling No at 90¢, a $56.5k position against a 91% No market.
  • Entry at 10¢ implies they see meaningful upside in a long-shot market with almost no recent price movement.
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
274d4d ago
$3,850 on No at 77¢
  • A 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts, with $11.2k total flagged activity
  • This trade put $3.85k into a market showing $0 of 24-hour volume, so the bettor is willing to take real size in a quiet book
  • They bought No at 77¢, implying they see the current 24% Yes chance as too high
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
274d7d ago
$6,951 on No at 89¢
  • This 18-hour-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling about $54.9k
  • The bettor just put $6.95k on No at 89¢ in a major geopolitics market with nearly $500k of liquidity
  • The market is stable and liquid, so this looks more like deliberate conviction than a random thin-market punt
Foreign Policy — Polymarket Smart Money Trades & Whale Alerts | PolySpotter