Foreign Policy
4 signals across 4 markets
Foreign Policy Markets with Smart Money Signals
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027? — 1 signal, $4,452 tracked
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? — 1 signal, $56,519 tracked
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? — 1 signal, $3,850 tracked
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? — 1 signal, $6,951 tracked

274d2d ago
99% win rate · +$37,997
💎
Whale_0x3de2e
DIAMOND99% WR
$4,452 on Yes at 12¢
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades with 531 wins and just 7 losses
- They effectively bought Yes at 12¢ by selling No at 88¢, a very contrarian entry versus the current 9¢ market
- The trade was $4.45k in a market with $0 24h volume, so this was a meaningful conviction bet

274d2d ago
99% win rate · +$37,997
💎
Whale_0x3de2e
DIAMOND99% WR
$56,519 on Yes at 10¢
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades, with 531 wins and over $100k in profit.
- They effectively bought Yes at 10¢ by selling No at 90¢, a $56.5k position against a 91% No market.
- Entry at 10¢ implies they see meaningful upside in a long-shot market with almost no recent price movement.
274d4d ago
$3,850 on No at 77¢
- A 3-day-old wallet has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts, with $11.2k total flagged activity
- This trade put $3.85k into a market showing $0 of 24-hour volume, so the bettor is willing to take real size in a quiet book
- They bought No at 77¢, implying they see the current 24% Yes chance as too high
274d7d ago
$6,951 on No at 89¢
- This 18-hour-old wallet has already triggered 6 large-bet alerts totaling about $54.9k
- The bettor just put $6.95k on No at 89¢ in a major geopolitics market with nearly $500k of liquidity
- The market is stable and liquid, so this looks more like deliberate conviction than a random thin-market punt