Geopolitics
3239 signals across 149 markets
Follow whale trades in geopolitical prediction markets on Polymarket. Track sharp bettors wagering on international diplomacy, conflicts, treaties, and global power shifts.
Multi-market events
Event · 3 markets
Iran closes its airspace by...?
89 signals · $729,831 tracked
Event · 7 markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
544 signals · $3,745,857 tracked
Event · 8 markets
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
150 signals · $1,155,960 tracked
Event · 17 markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
367 signals · $1,787,245 tracked
Event · 2 markets
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
8 signals · $54,059 tracked
Event · 2 markets
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
2 signals · $2,428 tracked
Event · 4 markets
Iran leadership change by...?
59 signals · $287,491 tracked
Event · 4 markets
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
62 signals · $213,180 tracked
Event · 3 markets
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
4 signals · $8,397 tracked
Event · 2 markets
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
17 signals · $127,619 tracked
Event · 5 markets
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
107 signals · $748,466 tracked
Event · 2 markets
Who will Trump meet with in May?
3 signals · $8,320 tracked
Geopolitics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? — 544 signals, $3,745,857 tracked. Latest: 13-wallet No cluster
- Iran closes its airspace by...? — 89 signals, $729,831 tracked. Latest: Profitable cluster buying No
- Israel closes its airspace by...? — 2 signals, $2,388 tracked. Latest: 91% winner buys NO
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? — 367 signals, $1,787,245 tracked. Latest: 16-wallet No cluster
- Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? — 150 signals, $1,155,960 tracked. Latest: Four sharp wallets buying No
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? — 57 signals, $319,866 tracked. Latest: 85% winner backing NO
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? — 31 signals, $271,172 tracked. Latest: Four-wallet sharp NO cluster
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 69 signals, $703,307 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet Yes cluster
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? — 1 signal, $2,739 tracked. Latest: 86% serial cross-market bettor
- Venezuela leader end of 2026? — 8 signals, $54,059 tracked. Latest: Profitable cluster buying rebound
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? — 62 signals, $213,180 tracked. Latest: 86% winner joins YES cluster
- Iran leadership change by...? — 59 signals, $287,491 tracked. Latest: 15-wallet cluster buying NO
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? — 1 signal, $6,677 tracked. Latest: New whale buying NO
- Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31? — 2 signals, $2,428 tracked. Latest: Serial cross-market winner buying NO
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? — 1 signal, $5,319 tracked. Latest: Profitable trio buying YES
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31? — 3 signals, $10,764 tracked. Latest: 98% winner buying NO
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? — 4 signals, $8,397 tracked. Latest: Profitable cross-market war bettor
- Will Trump visit China on...? — 1 signal, $1,000 tracked. Latest: 76% winner with cross-market thesis
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? — 17 signals, $127,619 tracked. Latest: 19-wallet sharp cluster
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? — 107 signals, $748,466 tracked
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
22d21h ago
W
Whale_0x88c4991% win rate 🔥
$1,000 on No at 79¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
22d21h ago
S
Sharp_0xfc2f485% win rate
$1,500 on No at 75¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
236d22h ago
W
Whale_0xcdb1f86% win rate
$2,739 on No at 80¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
52d23h ago
T
Trader_0xc6dd767% win rate
$1,497 on Yes at 57¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?Event · 3 markets · 89 signals
22d1d ago
$6,078 on Yes at 12¢
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?Event · 8 markets · 150 signals
52d1d ago
$28,448 on No at 52¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Event · 4 markets · 62 signals
236d1d ago
$3,821 on No at 73¢
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
22d1d ago
0x3660...7810$6,677 on No at 76¢
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
22d1d ago
$5,319 on Yes at 23¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
236d1d ago
W
Whale_0xc84f790% win rate 🔥
$7,600 on No at 81¢
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?Event · 2 markets · 2 signals
22d1d ago
T
Trader_0xb4f2570% win rate
$1,361 on No at 85¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
22d1d ago
W
Whale_0x136a5100% win rate 🔥
$3,157 on No at 82¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Event · 3 markets · 4 signals
236d1d ago
W
Wallet_0xd44e961% win rate
$1,970 on No at 83¢
Will Trump visit China on...?Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
22d2d ago
W
Wallet_0x12a2260% win rate
$1,000 on Yes at 78¢
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?Event · 2 markets · 17 signals
236d2d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$7,780 on No at 71¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Event · 5 markets · 107 signals
53d2d ago
$14,945 on No at 89¢
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Event · 2 markets · 8 signals
236d5d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$1,294 on Yes at 65¢
Iran leadership change by...?Event · 4 markets · 59 signals
236d7d ago
W
Whale_0x69aa987% win rate
$9,450 on No at 87¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Event · 17 markets · 367 signals
6d14d ago
$69,664 on No at 80¢
