Hormuz

70% win rate · +$153,462

• This bettor has won 70% of 1,021 resolved trades and is up $158k lifetime
• They have traded 287 markets across 117 events, suggesting broad event-driven skill rather than a one-off punt
• Their sale of Yes at 18¢ is effectively a buy on No around 82¢, in a liquid market with a tight 2¢ spread

92% win rate · +$48,776

• This bettor wins 92% of resolved markets across 367 bets and has traded 194 related markets across 118 events
• They put $574k across 10 markets in the same event, which points to a strong broader oil price view rather than a one-off trade
• This is a fresh re-entry on No at 89¢ after previously closing a position in this market, showing renewed conviction

88% win rate · +$88,152

• This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $88k across 139 settled positions.
• They trade related markets heavily — 7 markets in this event for $86.9k total — which suggests a broader oil thesis, not a one-off bet.
• This is a fresh No position at 67¢ after closing an earlier Yes stake, showing a clear change in view.

0% win rate · +$94,704

• This 21-day-old wallet has already made 16 large flagged bets totaling $153k, suggesting aggressive conviction rather than a one-off punt
• They have put $254k across 8 related crude-oil markets, which looks like a coordinated macro view instead of a single isolated trade
• This trade bought Yes at 41¢ and the market is now 65%, showing strong early price confirmation