Iran Ceasefire

81% win rate · +$131,091

• This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $131k across 32 settled markets
• They just put $14.6k into Yes at 73¢ in a high-volume geopolitics market, showing real conviction
• The wallet is also betting across 2 related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader ceasefire thesis

87% win rate · +$28,769

• This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up nearly $29k
• They bought No at 63¢ in a high-volume geopolitics market, showing fresh conviction
• The price has already moved from 63¢ to 66¢ after their entry

• This 26-day-old wallet has already triggered 7 large-bet alerts and put $77.6k to work
• They bought $14k of No at 85¢ in a high-volume geopolitical market, showing strong conviction on the favored side
• The wallet is also betting across 2 related markets in the same event, pointing to a broader thesis rather than a single trade

75% win rate · +$138,527

• This bettor has won 187 of 248 resolved markets and is up $138k overall.
• They have traded 64 related markets across 46 events, suggesting a repeatable event-driven edge.
• This is a fresh re-entry on Yes at 48¢ after previously closing, giving a better entry than their last 57¢ average.

73% win rate · +$90,834

• This bettor has won 648 of 888 resolved markets and is up about $90.8k overall.
• They trade across related event markets at scale — 104 events and $1.29M tracked volume.
• This sale of No at 82¢ is effectively a buy of Yes at 18¢, a low-priced bet on a geopolitical outcome.

67% win rate · +$5,811

• This bettor has 397 resolved bets with a 67% win rate across 63 events
• They put $175,505 across 9 related markets in the same event, showing a broader thesis instead of a one-off punt
• This trade effectively buys Yes at 10¢, a cheap entry if their ceasefire view is right

85% win rate · +$75,044

• This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 160 markets and is up $75k.
• They have traded 8 markets in this same event for $321k total, suggesting a developed event-wide thesis.
• This sale of Yes at 58¢ translates to buying No at 42¢, a meaningful bearish stance in a liquid news market.

77% win rate · +$8,334

• This bettor has won 657 of 860 resolved trades and has bet across 123 events.
• They put $139k across 8 related markets in this same event, showing a clear multi-market thesis.
• Bought No at 86¢, implying they see a high chance the conflict will not end by this deadline.

93% win rate · +$101,865

• This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades across 821 bets and has traded 242 markets in 137 events
• They sold Yes at 38¢, which is effectively a bet on No around 62¢ in a geopolitics market where informed views can matter
• The trade was about $3.8k in a market with only $11.2k liquidity, showing real conviction rather than routine noise