Jerome Powell

7 signals across 4 markets

Jerome Powell Markets with Smart Money Signals

  1. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 2 signals, $23,685 tracked
  2. Fed rate hike in 2026? 2 signals, $11,519 tracked
  3. Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? 2 signals, $71,518 tracked
  4. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? 1 signal, $3,299 tracked
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
77d44m ago

82% win rate · +$587,447

🏆
Sharp_0x71edf
GOLD82% WR
$8,163 on Yes at 89¢
  • This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $587k across 263 resolved markets
  • They have traded 202 markets across 130 related events, which suggests a repeatable macro process rather than a one-off bet
  • They bought Yes at 89¢ in a liquid Fed market, signaling confidence that rates stay unchanged into June 2026
Fed rate hike in 2026?
252d19h ago

91% win rate · +$1,830,687

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Whale_0x56c9f
DIAMOND91% WR
$4,685 on Yes at 25¢
  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M across more than 760 bets
  • The trade is a sell of No at 75¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 25¢
  • This is a meaningful $4.7k position from a wallet active across 65 events and 87 markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
119d2d ago

82% win rate · +$587,447

🏆
Sharp_0x71edf
GOLD82% WR
$3,299 on Yes at 77¢
  • This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $587k lifetime
  • They have traded 201 markets across 129 events, which points to a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet
  • The $3.3k buy was over half of this market's 24h volume, showing real conviction in a still-moderately thin market
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
252d6d ago

3 wallets, same direction (No/SELL), $46,851

$46,851 on No at 72¢
  • Three wallets hit the same side within 8 minutes for $46.9k total, a strong one-way bet on this Fed market
  • Their flow equaled more than double the market's 24h volume and far exceeded the $16.5k liquidity on the book
  • They sold at 72¢ and the market is now 76¢, showing the move had immediate follow-through