Jerome Powell
7 signals across 4 markets
Jerome Powell Markets with Smart Money Signals
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? — 2 signals, $23,685 tracked
- Fed rate hike in 2026? — 2 signals, $11,519 tracked
- Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? — 2 signals, $71,518 tracked
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? — 1 signal, $3,299 tracked

77d44m ago
82% win rate · +$587,447
🏆
Sharp_0x71edf
GOLD82% WR
$8,163 on Yes at 89¢
- This bettor wins 82% of their trades and is up about $587k across 263 resolved markets
- They have traded 202 markets across 130 related events, which suggests a repeatable macro process rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Yes at 89¢ in a liquid Fed market, signaling confidence that rates stay unchanged into June 2026

252d19h ago
91% win rate · +$1,830,687
💎
Whale_0x56c9f
DIAMOND91% WR
$4,685 on Yes at 25¢
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M across more than 760 bets
- The trade is a sell of No at 75¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 25¢
- This is a meaningful $4.7k position from a wallet active across 65 events and 87 markets

119d2d ago
82% win rate · +$587,447
🏆
Sharp_0x71edf
GOLD82% WR
$3,299 on Yes at 77¢
- This bettor wins 82% of their resolved trades and is up about $587k lifetime
- They have traded 201 markets across 129 events, which points to a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet
- The $3.3k buy was over half of this market's 24h volume, showing real conviction in a still-moderately thin market

252d6d ago
3 wallets, same direction (No/SELL), $46,851
$46,851 on No at 72¢
- Three wallets hit the same side within 8 minutes for $46.9k total, a strong one-way bet on this Fed market
- Their flow equaled more than double the market's 24h volume and far exceeded the $16.5k liquidity on the book
- They sold at 72¢ and the market is now 76¢, showing the move had immediate follow-through