Politics
3410 signals across 225 markets
Monitor sharp bettor activity in political prediction markets. From elections to policy decisions, see where informed money is positioning on Polymarket's political events.
Multi-market events
Event · 7 markets
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
544 signals · $3,745,857 tracked
Event · 3 markets
Colombia Presidential Election
15 signals · $21,858 tracked
Event · 3 markets
Iran closes its airspace by...?
89 signals · $729,831 tracked
Event · 8 markets
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?
150 signals · $1,155,960 tracked
Event · 2 markets
Farrer By-Election Winner
2 signals · $8,034 tracked
Event · 17 markets
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
367 signals · $1,787,245 tracked
Event · 4 markets
Iran leadership change by...?
59 signals · $287,491 tracked
Event · 4 markets
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?
62 signals · $213,180 tracked
Event · 2 markets
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
8 signals · $54,059 tracked
Event · 3 markets
Starmer out by...?
19 signals · $54,432 tracked
Event · 7 markets
Peru Presidential Election Winner
205 signals · $1,256,926 tracked
Event · 3 markets
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
4 signals · $8,397 tracked
Politics Markets with Smart Money Signals
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? — 544 signals, $3,745,857 tracked. Latest: 13-wallet No cluster
- Iran closes its airspace by...? — 89 signals, $729,831 tracked. Latest: Profitable cluster buying No
- Colombia Presidential Election — 15 signals, $21,858 tracked. Latest: 87% election bettor buys NO
- Israel closes its airspace by...? — 2 signals, $2,388 tracked. Latest: 91% winner buys NO
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? — 367 signals, $1,787,245 tracked. Latest: 16-wallet No cluster
- Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? — 150 signals, $1,155,960 tracked. Latest: Four sharp wallets buying No
- Farrer By-Election Winner — 2 signals, $8,034 tracked. Latest: 85% winner with 19-wallet cluster
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — 69 signals, $703,307 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet Yes cluster
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? — 1 signal, $2,739 tracked. Latest: 86% serial cross-market bettor
- Starmer out by...? — 19 signals, $54,432 tracked. Latest: 14-wallet sharp cluster
- Venezuela leader end of 2026? — 8 signals, $54,059 tracked. Latest: Profitable cluster buying rebound
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? — 62 signals, $213,180 tracked. Latest: 86% winner joins YES cluster
- Iran leadership change by...? — 59 signals, $287,491 tracked. Latest: 15-wallet cluster buying NO
- Will Tim Walz resign by...? — 1 signal, $4,450 tracked. Latest: 89% winner buys quiet NO
- US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? — 1 signal, $5,319 tracked. Latest: Profitable trio buying YES
- Peru Presidential Election Winner — 205 signals, $1,256,926 tracked. Latest: 4-wallet election surge
- Elon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026? — 1 signal, $1,009 tracked. Latest: New wallet fading tweet bucket
- Epstein suicide note released by...? — 1 signal, $2,222 tracked. Latest: Thin-market Yes breakout
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? — 4 signals, $8,397 tracked. Latest: Profitable cross-market war bettor
- Brazil Presidential Election — 7 signals, $30,474 tracked. Latest: New repeat whale buying YES
Israel closes its airspace by...?Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
23d1h ago
W
Whale_0x88c4991% win rate 🔥
$1,000 on No at 79¢
Farrer By-Election WinnerEvent · 2 markets · 2 signals
1d1h ago
S
Sharp_0x000d285% win rate
$4,066 on Yes at 82¢
Colombia Presidential ElectionEvent · 3 markets · 15 signals
44d1h ago
W
Whale_0x784fe87% win rate
$1,260 on No at 63¢
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
237d3h ago
W
Whale_0xcdb1f86% win rate
$2,739 on No at 80¢
Iran closes its airspace by...?Event · 3 markets · 89 signals
23d4h ago
$6,078 on Yes at 12¢
Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?Event · 8 markets · 150 signals
53d4h ago
$28,448 on No at 52¢
Starmer out by...?Event · 3 markets · 19 signals
237d4h ago
$9,718 on Yes at 13¢
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Event · 4 markets · 62 signals
237d4h ago
$3,821 on No at 73¢
Will Tim Walz resign by...?Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
237d4h ago
W
Whale_0xed10789% win rate
$4,450 on No at 89¢
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
23d4h ago
$5,319 on Yes at 23¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
237d4h ago
W
Whale_0xc84f790% win rate 🔥
$7,600 on No at 81¢
Elon Musk # tweets May 1 - May 8, 2026?Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
16h1d ago
$1,009 on No at 83¢
Epstein suicide note released by...?Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
23d1d ago
W
Wallet_0x6ba4a64% win rate
$2,222 on Yes at 58¢
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?Event · 3 markets · 4 signals
237d1d ago
W
Wallet_0xd44e961% win rate
$1,970 on No at 83¢
Brazil Presidential ElectionWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
149d1d ago
W
Wallet_0x8aa73100% win rate 🔥
$15,000 on Yes at 45¢
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Event · 2 markets · 8 signals
237d5d ago
W
Wallet_0xbaa2b63% win rate
$1,294 on Yes at 65¢
Iran leadership change by...?Event · 4 markets · 59 signals
237d6d ago
W
Whale_0x69aa987% win rate
$9,450 on No at 87¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?Event · 17 markets · 367 signals
7d13d ago
$69,664 on No at 80¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?Event · 7 markets · 544 signals
237d16d ago
$68,009 on No at 66¢
