Primaries

6 signals across 4 markets

84% win rate · +$1,218,202

$3,665 on No at 69¢

This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $1.2M across nearly 1,000 resolved markets.
Five linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off trade.
They sold Cornyn Yes at 31¢, which is equivalent to buying No around 69¢ in this market.

Copy trade→Buy No

Politics US Election Elections Primaries Parent For Derivative primary elections Texas Senate Senate Primary Republican Primary Texas Primary March 3 Primaries

100% win rate · +$4,090

$4,711 on Yes at 84¢

This bettor is 22-0 on resolved markets and has traded across 32 markets in 30 events
The $4.7k buy was more than 2x this market's full 24-hour volume, showing real conviction in a quiet market
They paid 84¢ for Yes, signaling they see Graham Platner as a very likely nominee even after a 14-point weekly run-up

Copy trade→Buy Yes

Politics Elections US Election Primaries primary elections Senate Primary Democratic Primary Maine Primary

$3,469 on Yes at 49¢

A 2-day-old wallet opened a fresh $3.5k position in a market that had only $13 of 24-hour volume
This single buy was over 260x the market's daily volume, showing unusually strong conviction in a very quiet market
They bought Yes at 49¢, near even odds, suggesting they think Dan Cox is materially undervalued here

Copy trade→Buy Yes

Politics Elections Primaries primary elections Republican Primary Governor Primary Maryland Primary

70% win rate · +$670,452

$5,885 on Yes at 47¢

This bettor has won 70% of 264 resolved trades and is up about $670k lifetime
They trade across 41 events and 59 markets, which points to a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
They opened a fresh Yes position at 47¢, a level that leaves room if Paxton's chances keep rising

Copy trade→Buy Yes

Politics US Election Elections Primaries Parent For Derivative primary elections Texas Senate Senate Primary Republican Primary Texas Primary March 3 Primaries