Tech

91% win-rate sharp bettor

• This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.87M lifetime
• They have traded 104 markets across 81 events, showing a strong repeat edge rather than a one-off bet
• They bought No at 85¢, a large $7.1k position in a market with only about $21k of liquidity

3 wallets, same direction (Yes/SELL), $25,634

• Three wallets hit the same side within minutes, unloading $25.6k of Yes shares at 61¢
• That sale equals a coordinated BUY No at 39¢, a price that offers roughly 2.6x payout if Discord does not IPO by 2027
• The burst came during a 202x volume spike, showing unusually strong conviction rather than routine flow

99% win rate · +$37,997

• This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades with 531 wins and over $100k profit
• The trade hit a market with just $10 of 24h volume, so a $7.3k order shows real conviction
• Selling No at 66¢ is equivalent to buying Yes around 34¢, far above the current 16¢ market price

5 wallets, same direction (No/SELL), $35,857

• Five wallets all hit the same side within about an hour, totaling $35.9k on a market that had only $1.5k of 24-hour volume before this burst.
• That flow was big enough to create a 559x volume spike, a strong sign that multiple bettors share the same view on this thin market.
• Entries clustered at 77¢, so the copy level is only attractive below about 85¢ since this is a long-dated market with mixed wallet histories.