Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran peace deal late May”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 4 more are correlated outcomes, committing $12,997 to this thesis across 7 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xbf4d273% win rate

Total

$12,997

Markets

7

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $4,629 @ 71¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,386 @ 85¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $1,096 @ 60¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $1,295 @ 87¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $1,880 @ 80¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
    $1,102 @ 38¢
  7. 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $1,610 @ 59¢