Cross-Market Thesis
“No US-Iran peace deal”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 7 more are correlated outcomes, committing $18,955 to this thesis across 10 prediction markets on Polymarket.
S
Sharp_0xbf4d278% win rate
Total
$18,955
Markets
10
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,299 @ 84¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1,386 @ 85¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1,096 @ 60¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$3,068 @ 73¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,295 @ 87¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1,880 @ 80¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,102 @ 38¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1,988 @ 29¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$4,400 @ 88¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1,442 @ 55¢