Cross-Market Thesis
“Iran deal after July”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, and 8 more are correlated outcomes, committing $38,225 to this thesis across 11 prediction markets on Polymarket.
W
Wallet_0x7447156% win rate
Total
$38,225
Markets
11
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,284 @ 3¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1,873 @ 40¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$6,018 @ 68¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,041 @ 45¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,197 @ 29¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$2,310 @ 8¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5,148 @ 26¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1,730 @ 18¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$8,578 @ 37¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2,321 @ 49¢
- 11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6,725 @ 14¢