Cross-Market Thesis
“US-Iran peace deal by 2026”
This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 8 more are correlated outcomes, committing $59,092 to this thesis across 11 prediction markets on Polymarket.
S
Sharp_0x5188f82% win rate
Total
$59,092
Markets
11
Positions
- 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,977 @ 82¢
- 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2,613 @ 58¢
- 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$3,200 @ 16¢
- 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,730 @ 43¢
- 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,700 @ 18¢
- 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$33,458 @ 67¢
- 7US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1,637 @ 25¢
- 8US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$1,360 @ 8¢
- 9US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3,850 @ 40¢
- 10US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1,602 @ 30¢
- 11US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1,964 @ 13¢