Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran deal timing mispriced”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?, US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?, and 3 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,769 to this thesis across 6 prediction markets on Polymarket.

W
Wallet_0xf1f9a56% win rate

Total

$13,769

Markets

6

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $2,302 @ 82¢
  2. 2US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
    $2,072 @ 34¢
  3. 3US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
    $1,700 @ 17¢
  4. 4US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
    $2,030 @ 29¢
  5. 5US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
    $3,155 @ 29¢
  6. 6US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
    $2,510 @ 17¢
Iran deal timing mispriced — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter