Cross-Market Thesis

“Oil tops $85 if Democrats win”

This trader is expressing a view that Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?, Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? are correlated outcomes, committing $10,589 to this thesis across 2 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x33e2767% win rate

Total

$10,589

Markets

2

Positions

  1. 1Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
    $5,310 @ 53¢
  2. 2Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
    $5,279 @ 90¢
Oil tops $85 if Democrats win — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter